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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Niumi National Park

  • WDPA ID

    109037

  • Country

    GMB

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
24
Bird
59
421
Mammal
4
87
Total
66
532

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.8%
  • 18.0%
  • 27.5%
  • 18.2%
  • 31.5%
  • 46.8%
Mammal
  • 11.2%
  • 25.7%
  • 38.7%
  • 25.1%
  • 41.6%
  • 61.1%
Amphibian
  • 9.4%
  • 20.7%
  • 36.7%
  • 17.7%
  • 36.7%
  • 56.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus genei Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sterna hirundo Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus ruficollis Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Actophilornis africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon leucocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Niumi National Park (CSV file).

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