Name
WDPA ID
Country
IUCN category
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
3
|
28
|
|
| Bird |
30
|
338
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
96
|
|
| Total | 37 |
462 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | Strigiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apus caffer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chloropeta natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Columba guinea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops variegatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nilaus afer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus bicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prinia subflava | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron calvus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | DEC |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model