Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kashimbila

  • WDPA ID

    11597

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
25
Bird
67
411
Mammal
9
102
Total
78
538

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 20.7%
  • 24.1%
  • 28.2%
  • 25.5%
  • 28.1%
  • 35.5%
Mammal
  • 25.0%
  • 27.6%
  • 30.8%
  • 28.1%
  • 31.1%
  • 34.4%
Amphibian
  • 15.9%
  • 20.9%
  • 26.3%
  • 16.9%
  • 22.6%
  • 30.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neafrapus cassini Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura melanopygia Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apalis rufogularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryoscopus senegalensis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glaucidium sjostedti Strigiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia bouvieri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia rubescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prinia leucopogon Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa sethsmithi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis sharpei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia rara
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis cleaveri
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
INC
Bubo shelleyi
INC
INC
Nectarinia fuliginosa
INC
INC
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
INC
Malimbus erythrogaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia bouvieri
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia rubescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia leucopogon
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
INC
Smithornis sharpei
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus xavieri
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
NO CHANGE
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
DEC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes aurantium
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis binotata
INC
INC
Apalis cinerea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis jacksoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
NO CHANGE
INC
Bradornis pallidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calandrella cinerea
INC
INC
Campephaga petiti
DEC
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Campethera tullbergi
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus binotatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla falkensteini
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brunnescens
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Cossyphicula roberti
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Criniger barbatus
INC
INC
Cryptospiza reichenovii
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dendropicos poecilolaemus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Elminia albiventris
DEC
DEC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia hartlaubi
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda atricapilla
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda nonnula
DEC
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes capensis
DEC
DEC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
DEC
DEC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuliginosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jubula lettii
INC
INC
Jynx ruficollis
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureiceps
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
DEC
DEC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Lanius mackinnoni
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops variegatus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos elliotii
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Muscicapa adusta
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia preussi
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza locustella
NO CHANGE
INC
Otus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus albiventris
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
INC
Platysteira chalybea
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
DEC
DEC
Ploceus insignis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus pelzelni
INC
INC
Ploceus preussi
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
DEC
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
DEC
DEC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sarothrura elegans
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
DEC
DEC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
INC
Tauraco leucolophus
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus bocagei
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zoothera camaronensis
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model