Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

W National Park of Niger

  • WDPA ID

    124385

  • Country

    NER

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
19
Bird
39
364
Mammal
6
91
Total
48
474

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.3%
  • 10.6%
  • 22.7%
  • 11.4%
  • 16.7%
  • 32.2%
Mammal
  • 10.8%
  • 13.5%
  • 30.5%
  • 14.8%
  • 23.9%
  • 40.5%
Amphibian
  • 9.8%
  • 15.0%
  • 36.1%
  • 10.9%
  • 21.8%
  • 46.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity´┐╝
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity´┐╝
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
DEC
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
NO CHANGE
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Serinus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model