Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Ouadi-Rime-Ouadi Achim
WDPA ID
1250
Country
TCD
IUCN category
IV
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
2
|
|
| Bird |
29
|
194
|
|
| Mammal |
12
|
44
|
|
| Total | 41 |
240 |
16 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cursorius cursor | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Turdoides fulva | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus aegyptius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neotis nuba | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco cherrug | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Gyps rueppellii | N/A |
|
EN |
|
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | N/A |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Struthio camelus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides fulva | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Neotis nuba | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Actophilornis africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amandava subflava | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Amaurornis flavirostra | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis orientalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela melanura | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx caprius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator glandarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer zonurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremophila bilopha | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus bicalcaratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius rolleti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops albicollis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops pusillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucura | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe moesta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer simplex | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoeniconaias minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus meyeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | INC |
INC |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
INC |
|
| Prinia subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles coronatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spiloptila rufifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Stigmatopelia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
