Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Baobolon Wetland Reserve

  • WDPA ID

    145529

  • Country

    GMB

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
26
Bird
53
413
Mammal
4
92
Total
61
531

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.6%
  • 19.1%
  • 27.2%
  • 24.1%
  • 33.0%
  • 50.6%
Mammal
  • 18.1%
  • 25.6%
  • 35.6%
  • 29.8%
  • 43.9%
  • 66.0%
Amphibian
  • 15.2%
  • 26.7%
  • 45.1%
  • 26.0%
  • 46.3%
  • 70.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Puffinus puffinus Procellariiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Larus genei Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sterna hirundo Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Larus audouinii Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Stercorarius pomarinus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus ruficollis Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus nasutus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Actophilornis africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
DEC
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
DEC
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo semirufa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius barbarus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macronyx croceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
DEC
DEC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Quelea erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
DEC
DEC
Vidua interjecta
DEC
DEC
Vidua macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
DEC
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model