Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Reserve Naturelle Nationale de Termit et de Tin Toumma

  • WDPA ID

    17367

  • Country

    NER

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
3
Bird
25
130
Mammal
12
49
Total
37
182

20 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 27.5%
  • 34.0%
  • 46.0%
  • 34.4%
  • 42.6%
  • 50.3%
Mammal
  • 15.0%
  • 17.7%
  • 22.1%
  • 19.4%
  • 26.6%
  • 34.4%
Amphibian
  • 5.5%
  • 10.4%
  • 27.0%
  • 8.2%
  • 27.4%
  • 61.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bubo ascalaphus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps rueppellii N/A
EN
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco alopex
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Apus pallidus
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila verreauxii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Actophilornis africanus
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Alectoris barbara
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea goliath
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Ardeola ralloides
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis orientalis
INC
INC
Bostrychia hagedash
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceyx pictus
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus adsimilis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremophila bilopha
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Halcyon senegalensis
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Kaupifalco monogrammicus
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nettapus auritus
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe leucura
INC
INC
Oenanthe moesta
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Porphyrio alleni
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles coronatus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rhamphocoris clotbey
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model