Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Cliff of Bandiagara Land of the Dogons

  • WDPA ID

    20171

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
16
Bird
41
350
Mammal
6
61
Total
49
427

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.1%
  • 10.9%
  • 27.2%
  • 11.5%
  • 20.7%
  • 36.1%
Mammal
  • 16.8%
  • 20.8%
  • 40.1%
  • 22.0%
  • 31.3%
  • 53.5%
Amphibian
  • 6.3%
  • 13.3%
  • 32.8%
  • 8.8%
  • 20.4%
  • 44.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Asio flammeus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercomela melanura
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Podica senegalensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus margaritatus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model