Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Abdoulaye

  • WDPA ID

    20978

  • Country

    TGO

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
24
Bird
32
321
Mammal
7
117
Total
41
462

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.0%
  • 14.0%
  • 24.2%
  • 16.0%
  • 21.6%
  • 35.8%
Mammal
  • 9.4%
  • 12.8%
  • 25.2%
  • 14.3%
  • 21.5%
  • 32.8%
Amphibian
  • 6.2%
  • 10.7%
  • 25.8%
  • 12.3%
  • 23.2%
  • 43.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
INC
Merops malimbicus
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
INC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
INC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urotriorchis macrourus
INC
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Centropus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
INC
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
INC
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia minulla
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceratogymna atrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia bouvieri
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda notatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis jacksoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
INC
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina caesia
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Laniarius poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
DEC
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus coryphaeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus burtoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus crassirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model