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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Gourma

  • WDPA ID

    2321

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
9
Bird
42
289
Mammal
11
63
Total
54
361

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.9%
  • 15.4%
  • 35.0%
  • 14.9%
  • 31.7%
  • 46.3%
Mammal
  • 13.3%
  • 18.8%
  • 43.4%
  • 21.9%
  • 36.4%
  • 63.9%
Amphibian
  • 8.5%
  • 15.9%
  • 24.5%
  • 12.5%
  • 29.9%
  • 52.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nordmanni Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis aequatorialis Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco cherrug Falconiformes
EN
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Gerbillus rupicola N/A
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Gyps rueppellii N/A
EN
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
Tockus nasutus N/A
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
    Anas penelope N/A
    		LC
    • Habitat specialisation
    • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
    • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
    Anas clypeata N/A
    		LC
    • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
    • Slow turnover of generations
    Tockus erythrorhynchus N/A
    		LC
    • Microhabitat specialisation
    • Slow turnover of generations

    The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

    Expected changes in climate suitability

    Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
    Lybius vieilloti
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Chelictinia riocourii
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Falco alopex
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Ortyxelos meiffrenii
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Apus pallidus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Bucorvus abyssinicus
    INC
    INC
    Accipiter erythropus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Circaetus beaudouini
    INC
    INC
    Elminia longicauda
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Struthio camelus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Ardeotis arabs
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Streptopelia roseogrisea
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Nectarinia chloropygia
    INC
    INC
    Telacanthura ussheri
    INC
    INC
    Campethera nivosa
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Glareola nuchalis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Cursorius cursor
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Turdoides fulva
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Neotis nuba
    DEC
    DEC
    Bubo ascalaphus
    INC
    INC
    Gyps rueppellii
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Lybius dubius
    INC
    INC
    Tigriornis leucolopha
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Tockus erythrorhynchus
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Accipiter melanoleucus
    INC
    INC
    Accipiter ovampensis
    INC
    INC
    Accipiter tachiro
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Acrocephalus rufescens
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Alaemon alaudipes
    INC
    INC
    Alcedo cristata
    INC
    INC
    Amandava subflava
    INC
    INC
    Ammomanes cinctura
    INC
    INC
    Anaplectes rubriceps
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Anas capensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Anas hottentota
    INC
    INC
    Anas sparsa
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Anastomus lamelligerus
    DEC
    DEC
    Anthoscopus parvulus
    INC
    INC
    Anthoscopus punctifrons
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Apalis flavida
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Aplopelia larvata
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Apus caffer
    INC
    INC
    Aquila rapax
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Ardea melanocephala
    DEC
    DEC
    Asio capensis
    INC
    INC
    Aviceda cuculoides
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Balaeniceps rex
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Bradornis pallidus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Bubo africanus
    DEC
    DEC
    Bucanetes githagineus
    INC
    INC
    Buteo auguralis
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Campephaga phoenicea
    INC
    INC
    Campethera cailliautii
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Campethera punctuligera
    INC
    INC
    Caprimulgus inornatus
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Caprimulgus natalensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Caprimulgus tristigma
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Centropus grillii
    INC
    INC
    Cercotrichas podobe
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Charadrius pecuarius
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Chrysococcyx cupreus
    INC
    INC
    Chrysococcyx klaas
    INC
    INC
    Ciconia abdimii
    DEC
    DEC
    Ciconia episcopus
    INC
    INC
    Cisticola aridulus
    INC
    INC
    Cisticola brachypterus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Cisticola cantans
    INC
    INC
    Cisticola erythrops
    INC
    INC
    Cisticola guinea
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Cisticola lateralis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Cisticola natalensis
    INC
    INC
    Cisticola robustus
    NO CHANGE
    INC
    Cisticola rufus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Clamator levaillantii
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Coracias abyssinicus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Coracias cyanogaster
    INC
    INC
    Coracina pectoralis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Corvinella corvina
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Corvus albus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Corvus rhipidurus
    INC
    INC
    Cossypha albicapilla
    INC
    INC
    Coturnix delegorguei
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Crecopsis egregia
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Crinifer piscator
    INC
    INC
    Cuculus clamosus
    INC
    INC
    Cuculus solitarius
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Cypsiurus parvus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Dendropicos elachus
    DEC
    DEC
    Dicrurus adsimilis
    INC
    INC
    Dryoscopus gambensis
    INC
    INC
    Egretta gularis
    INC
    INC
    Emberiza affinis
    INC
    INC
    Emberiza flaviventris
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Emberiza striolata
    NO CHANGE
    INC
    Eremalauda dunni
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Eremomela pusilla
    INC
    INC
    Eremopterix leucotis
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Erythropygia galactotes
    INC
    INC
    Estrilda melpoda
    INC
    INC
    Euplectes axillaris
    INC
    INC
    Eurystomus glaucurus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Falco biarmicus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Falco cuvierii
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Francolinus albogularis
    INC
    INC
    Francolinus clappertoni
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Galerida modesta
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Gorsachius leuconotus
    INC
    INC
    Gypohierax angolensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Halcyon senegalensis
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Heliolais erythropterus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hieraaetus ayresii
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hippolais pallida
    INC
    INC
    Hirundo aethiopica
    DEC
    DEC
    Hirundo fuligula
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hirundo leucosoma
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hirundo obsoleta
    INC
    INC
    Hirundo semirufa
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hylia prasina
    INC
    INC
    Hyliota flavigaster
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Hypergerus atriceps
    INC
    INC
    Indicator minor
    INC
    INC
    Kaupifalco monogrammicus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Lagonosticta rufopicta
    INC
    INC
    Lamprotornis chalcurus
    INC
    INC
    Lamprotornis pulcher
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Laniarius aethiopicus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Lanius collaris
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Lanius excubitoroides
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Lonchura cantans
    DEC
    DEC
    Lonchura cucullata
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Malaconotus blanchoti
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Megaceryle maxima
    INC
    INC
    Melaenornis edolioides
    INC
    INC
    Melierax gabar
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Melierax metabates
    DEC
    DEC
    Merops albicollis
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Merops bulocki
    INC
    INC
    Merops hirundineus
    INC
    INC
    Mesopicos goertae
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Microparra capensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Mirafra africana
    INC
    INC
    Mirafra albicauda
    NO CHANGE
    INC
    Mirafra cantillans
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Motacilla aguimp
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Muscicapa aquatica
    INC
    INC
    Musophaga violacea
    INC
    INC
    Myioparus plumbeus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Myrmecocichla albifrons
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Necrosyrtes monachus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Nectarinia coccinigaster
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Nectarinia cuprea
    INC
    INC
    Nectarinia pulchella
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Nectarinia senegalensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Neotis denhami
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Numida meleagris
    INC
    INC
    Oenanthe heuglini
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Oenanthe leucopyga
    INC
    INC
    Oenanthe leucura
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Otus leucotis
    DEC
    DEC
    Passer griseus
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Passer luteus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Passer simplex
    INC
    INC
    Pelecanus rufescens
    DEC
    DEC
    Petronia dentata
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Phoeniconaias minor
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Phoenicopterus roseus
    INC
    INC
    Pinarocorys erythropygia
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Plegadis falcinellus
    DEC
    DEC
    Plocepasser superciliosus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Ploceus heuglini
    INC
    INC
    Podica senegalensis
    INC
    INC
    Pogoniulus chrysoconus
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Polyboroides typus
    INC
    INC
    Psalidoprocne obscura
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Psalidoprocne pristoptera
    INC
    INC
    Pseudhirundo griseopyga
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Pterocles coronatus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Pterocles lichtensteinii
    INC
    INC
    Pterocles quadricinctus
    DEC
    DEC
    Pterocles senegallus
    INC
    INC
    Pycnonotus barbatus
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Pyrrhurus scandens
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Pytilia phoenicoptera
    INC
    INC
    Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
    INC
    INC
    Sagittarius serpentarius
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Scotopelia peli
    INC
    INC
    Serinus gularis
    INC
    INC
    Serinus leucopygius
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Serinus mozambicus
    INC
    INC
    Spiloptila clamans
    NO CHANGE
    DEC
    Sporopipes frontalis
    NO CHANGE
    NO CHANGE
    Stephanoaetus coronatus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Strix woodfordii
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Tchagra senegalus
    DEC
    DEC
    Telophorus sulfureopectus
    INC
    INC
    Terpsiphone viridis
    INC
    INC
    Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Threskiornis aethiopicus
    DEC
    DEC
    Treron calvus
    INC
    INC
    Turdoides plebejus
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Turdoides reinwardii
    INC
    INC
    Turdus pelios
    INC
    INC
    Vidua camerunensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Vidua wilsoni
    INC
    NO CHANGE
    Zosterops senegalensis
    INC
    NO CHANGE

    The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

    Download the full set of data for Gourma (CSV file).

    < Return to Official Record for Gourma