Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Ferlo-Sud

  • WDPA ID

    2332

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
15
Bird
41
302
Mammal
5
62
Total
48
379

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.0%
  • 28.3%
  • 43.7%
  • 23.8%
  • 49.4%
  • 77.5%
Mammal
  • 12.7%
  • 27.4%
  • 48.6%
  • 22.2%
  • 48.7%
  • 77.7%
Amphibian
  • 6.9%
  • 22.0%
  • 40.6%
  • 15.5%
  • 51.2%
  • 84.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Falco alopex
DEC
DEC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
DEC
DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
DEC
DEC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius barbarus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
DEC
DEC
Merops pusillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
DEC
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
DEC
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pycnonotus barbatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus tectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model