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< Return to Official Record for Ferlo-Nord

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Ferlo-Nord

  • WDPA ID

    2333

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
8
Bird
44
286
Mammal
8
60
Total
53
354

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.9%
  • 30.5%
  • 55.5%
  • 25.5%
  • 51.4%
  • 79.1%
Mammal
  • 16.1%
  • 28.1%
  • 53.6%
  • 23.2%
  • 47.6%
  • 72.9%
Amphibian
  • 8.8%
  • 26.4%
  • 54.3%
  • 9.7%
  • 49.5%
  • 94.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Glareola nordmanni Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Struthio camelus
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus grillii
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx caprius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
DEC
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops pusillus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
DEC
DEC
Passer simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pycnonotus barbatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Quelea quelea
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Ferlo-Nord (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Ferlo-Nord