Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Djoudj National Bird Sanctuary

  • WDPA ID

    2578

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
N/A
N/A
Bird
N/A
N/A
Mammal
N/A
N/A
Total

% of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.4%
  • 22.5%
  • 39.8%
  • 25.3%
  • 36.2%
  • 54.5%
Mammal
  • 17.4%
  • 24.1%
  • 32.6%
  • 25.7%
  • 36.3%
  • 44.2%
Amphibian
  • 8.3%
  • 18.5%
  • 38.2%
  • 8.8%
  • 24.7%
  • 50.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
NO CHANGE
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops albicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotocerca inquieta
NO CHANGE
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model