Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Badiar

  • WDPA ID

    29069

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    II

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
29
Bird
30
306
Mammal
5
96
Total
39
431

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 19.3%
  • 25.1%
  • 32.6%
  • 26.4%
  • 37.0%
  • 47.9%
Mammal
  • 19.3%
  • 28.2%
  • 39.5%
  • 28.3%
  • 45.1%
  • 61.7%
Amphibian
  • 13.9%
  • 31.7%
  • 59.5%
  • 21.0%
  • 53.8%
  • 76.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Falco alopex
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
NO CHANGE
DEC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
DEC
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Actophilornis africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Buphagus africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx pictus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
DEC
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
DEC
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
DEC
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
DEC
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes macroura
DEC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macronyx croceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Neotis denhami
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
DEC
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
DEC
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
DEC
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
DEC
DEC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
DEC
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
DEC
DEC
Vidua interjecta
DEC
DEC
Vidua macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model