Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Grandes Chutes
WDPA ID
29351
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
24
|
|
| Bird |
35
|
289
|
|
| Mammal |
6
|
92
|
|
| Total | 41 |
405 |
10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter erythropus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Campethera nivosa | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nicator chloris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sylvietta virens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Centropus leucogaster | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bubo leucostictus | Strigiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sylvietta denti | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Calidris alpina | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
INC |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia rara | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Urotriorchis macrourus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gymnobucco calvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Smithornis rufolateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllastrephus icterinus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo leucostictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira castanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Bias musicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dryotriorchis spectabilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus griseigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco macrorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pholidornis rushiae | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus ansorgei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Canirallus oculeus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba unicincta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cyanolaema | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda syndactylus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buccanodon duchaillui | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixonotus guttatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stizorhina fraseri | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
INC |
|
| Uromanis tetradactyla | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus curvirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Campephaga quiscalina | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera caroli | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias naevia | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina azurea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dryoscopus sabini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela badiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon badia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius leucorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus cruentus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus malimbicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
INC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops nubicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Pitta angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus tricolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhaphidura sabini | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Sheppardia bocagei | INC |
INC |
|
| Smithornis capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias pyrrhogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tropicranus albocristatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turnix hottentottus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
