Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Grandes Chutes

  • WDPA ID

    29351

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
24
Bird
35
289
Mammal
6
92
Total
41
405

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.1%
  • 20.6%
  • 25.7%
  • 19.2%
  • 23.6%
  • 29.7%
Mammal
  • 11.6%
  • 19.4%
  • 25.0%
  • 15.4%
  • 23.1%
  • 28.9%
Amphibian
  • 3.9%
  • 8.4%
  • 17.7%
  • 5.3%
  • 13.2%
  • 25.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
INC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
INC
INC
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
INC
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Canirallus oculeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Columba unicincta
INC
INC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Ixonotus guttatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
INC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina azurea
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus malimbicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
INC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
INC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model