Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Sere
WDPA ID
29366
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
2
|
22
|
|
| Bird |
26
|
274
|
|
| Mammal |
9
|
103
|
|
| Total | 37 |
399 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nicator chloris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sylvietta virens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bias musicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Campephaga quiscalina | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator maculatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
INC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura rufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias pyrrhogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turdus pelios | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
