Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Mirire
WDPA ID
29384
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
23
|
275
|
|
| Mammal |
8
|
98
|
|
| Total | 35 |
400 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
INC |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
INC |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Gymnobucco calvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Criniger calurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo leucostictus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira castanea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bias musicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Stizorhina fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela badiceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius leucorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus cruentus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
INC |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Pitta angolensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira blissetti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura rufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sheppardia bocagei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Smithornis capensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias pyrrhogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Tropicranus albocristatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turnix hottentottus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
