Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mirire

  • WDPA ID

    29384

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
27
Bird
23
275
Mammal
8
98
Total
35
400

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.8%
  • 21.2%
  • 24.9%
  • 15.2%
  • 26.3%
  • 30.2%
Mammal
  • 14.8%
  • 21.8%
  • 27.8%
  • 16.0%
  • 25.2%
  • 34.2%
Amphibian
  • 8.8%
  • 18.2%
  • 27.4%
  • 9.1%
  • 25.0%
  • 42.0%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
INC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
INC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
INC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
INC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
INC
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
NO CHANGE
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Sheppardia bocagei
INC
NO CHANGE
Smithornis capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model