Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Binti
WDPA ID
29394
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
3
|
25
|
|
| Bird |
23
|
270
|
|
| Mammal |
9
|
101
|
|
| Total | 35 |
396 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Centropus leucogaster | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
INC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdus pelios | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
