Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Kakrima
WDPA ID
29397
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
22
|
|
| Bird |
26
|
266
|
|
| Mammal |
9
|
97
|
|
| Total | 36 |
385 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter erythropus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Nicator chloris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Sylvietta virens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bias musicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dryoscopus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Falco ardosiaceus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo semirufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chloropterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
INC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
