Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sala

  • WDPA ID

    29398

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
33
Bird
49
359
Mammal
10
118
Total
63
510

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.9%
  • 18.2%
  • 22.1%
  • 20.6%
  • 24.1%
  • 30.8%
Mammal
  • 12.8%
  • 17.1%
  • 26.1%
  • 18.1%
  • 23.1%
  • 34.8%
Amphibian
  • 4.8%
  • 9.0%
  • 23.0%
  • 9.9%
  • 17.2%
  • 34.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sheppardia cyornithopsis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Turtur tympanistria
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model