Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Previously called Mafou Classified Forest

  • WDPA ID

    29421

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
26
Bird
30
311
Mammal
7
106
Total
41
443

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.0%
  • 17.7%
  • 30.5%
  • 19.8%
  • 25.3%
  • 36.4%
Mammal
  • 11.7%
  • 15.7%
  • 32.4%
  • 15.2%
  • 26.4%
  • 36.6%
Amphibian
  • 8.7%
  • 13.5%
  • 34.6%
  • 12.6%
  • 28.1%
  • 46.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
NO CHANGE
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
DEC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
DEC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
DEC
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
NO CHANGE
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
DEC
DEC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
DEC
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model