Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Kabela
WDPA ID
29428
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
26
|
|
| Bird |
29
|
291
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
93
|
|
| Total | 37 |
410 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Gyps fulvus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola nuchalis | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Haliaeetus vocifer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Pitta angolensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus chrysoconus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prinia subflava | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura rufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tchagra senegalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turnix hottentottus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
