Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sobory

  • WDPA ID

    29437

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
23
Bird
26
294
Mammal
4
93
Total
34
410

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.7%
  • 18.4%
  • 20.7%
  • 19.0%
  • 22.8%
  • 26.1%
Mammal
  • 11.0%
  • 14.9%
  • 22.2%
  • 17.1%
  • 21.9%
  • 28.2%
Amphibian
  • 8.7%
  • 20.2%
  • 37.9%
  • 14.8%
  • 27.5%
  • 43.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
INC
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
NO CHANGE
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cursorius cursor
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
NO CHANGE
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeola ralloides
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx caprius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
NO CHANGE
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
INC
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Passer luteus
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platalea alba
INC
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polyboroides typus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
INC
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model