Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Sobory
WDPA ID
29437
Country
GIN
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
23
|
|
| Bird |
26
|
294
|
|
| Mammal |
4
|
93
|
|
| Total | 34 |
410 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Tachymarptis aequatorialis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus nasutus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila rapax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ardeola ralloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Buteo auguralis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus climacurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus monachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Centropus senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx caprius | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix leucotis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco chicquera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius barbarus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Passer griseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoeniculus purpureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Platalea alba | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polyboroides typus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Stigmatopelia senegalensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia vinacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus spinosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
