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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Tafsirla

  • WDPA ID

    29438

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
24
Bird
27
292
Mammal
4
91
Total
35
407

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.2%
  • 16.7%
  • 25.4%
  • 18.6%
  • 22.6%
  • 35.4%
Mammal
  • 9.9%
  • 14.9%
  • 30.2%
  • 15.9%
  • 27.5%
  • 40.7%
Amphibian
  • 10.9%
  • 18.5%
  • 36.7%
  • 15.2%
  • 29.5%
  • 48.5%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
INC
INC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
NO CHANGE
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
INC
Aplopelia larvata
NO CHANGE
INC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
NO CHANGE
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Tafsirla (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Tafsirla