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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bambaya

  • WDPA ID

    29453

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
23
Bird
36
297
Mammal
6
99
Total
43
419

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 17.8%
  • 20.3%
  • 27.0%
  • 21.5%
  • 25.8%
  • 39.3%
Mammal
  • 17.2%
  • 19.6%
  • 27.2%
  • 19.3%
  • 24.5%
  • 38.1%
Amphibian
  • 12.5%
  • 17.0%
  • 22.9%
  • 13.3%
  • 22.0%
  • 34.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
INC
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera maculosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus scutatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Bambaya (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Bambaya