Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Laine

  • WDPA ID

    29488

  • Country

    GIN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
38
Bird
78
367
Mammal
11
129
Total
91
534

17 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 16.4%
  • 19.6%
  • 29.5%
  • 24.5%
  • 31.4%
  • 58.8%
Mammal
  • 20.1%
  • 23.8%
  • 30.9%
  • 24.8%
  • 31.1%
  • 56.6%
Amphibian
  • 19.5%
  • 26.1%
  • 38.6%
  • 19.6%
  • 34.8%
  • 70.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bleda eximius Passeriformes
NT
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia ussheri Strigiformes
VU
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa epulata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa olivascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Dryotriorchis spectabilis Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Myioparus griseigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis cleaveri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira concreta Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sheppardia cyornithopsis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo poensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bostrychia rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Criniger calurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus atroflavus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus icterinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia superba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa olivascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia minulla
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
INC
INC
Myioparus griseigularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thescelocichla leucopleura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Buccanodon duchaillui
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
INC
Nectarinia batesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira concreta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
DEC
DEC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis occulta
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
DEC
DEC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Ceratogymna elata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercococcyx olivinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola anonymus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Fraseria ocreata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Guttera pucherani
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus kempi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus rubricollis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malimbus scutatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neocossyphus poensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Parus funereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus tricolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura rufa
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Smithornis capensis
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
INC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model