Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Mt Manda
WDPA ID
29618
Country
CIV
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
25
|
|
| Bird |
26
|
298
|
|
| Mammal |
3
|
89
|
|
| Total | 33 |
412 |
8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrodipteryx longipennis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus auratus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta brachyura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
