Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Lac Fitri

  • WDPA ID

    30017

  • Country

    TCD

  • IUCN category

    Not Applicable

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
5
Bird
39
275
Mammal
7
52
Total
46
332

13 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.1%
  • 18.1%
  • 30.1%
  • 20.5%
  • 27.9%
  • 38.7%
Mammal
  • 17.7%
  • 22.5%
  • 37.5%
  • 27.1%
  • 34.2%
  • 48.3%
Amphibian
  • 13.0%
  • 16.3%
  • 25.0%
  • 16.9%
  • 25.3%
  • 48.4%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter nisus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Vanellus gregarius Charadriiformes
CR
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Neotis nuba Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthropoides virgo Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo ascalaphus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
DEC
DEC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardeotis arabs
DEC
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila verreauxii
INC
INC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
DEC
DEC
Batis orientalis
DEC
DEC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
INC
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela melanura
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela scotocerca
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Crinifer piscator
INC
INC
Crinifer zonurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes afer
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes axillaris
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
DEC
DEC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator minor
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius erythrogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius excubitoroides
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Macronyx croceus
INC
INC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Podica senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
DEC
DEC
Spiloptila rufifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
DEC
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
INC
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus margaritatus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model