Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Kwaimbana
WDPA ID
300710
Country
NGA
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
3
|
27
|
|
| Bird |
39
|
375
|
|
| Mammal |
3
|
94
|
|
| Total | 45 |
496 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter erythropus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola nuchalis | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops malimbicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia cyanolaema | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes albotibialis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia rubescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uromanis tetradactyla | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus horus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Calandrella cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Circaetus cinerascens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Clamator glandarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Colius striatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias abyssinicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coracina azurea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cursorius temminckii | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Empidornis semipartitus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Falco chicquera | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus icterorhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus squamatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon chelicuti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Heliolais erythropterus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Indicator minor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mandingoa nitidula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Merops pusillus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nilaus afer | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Otus senegalensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
INC |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Polemaetus bellicosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prinia subflava | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
