Name
WDPA ID
Country
IUCN category
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
1
|
22
|
|
| Bird |
42
|
334
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
75
|
|
| Total | 48 |
431 |
11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia nigra | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Glareola cinerea | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | Falconiformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Accipiter nisus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ardeotis arabs | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Vanellus gregarius | Charadriiformes |
|
CR |
|
|
| Gyps fulvus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pernis apivorus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Aythya ferina | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius leucocephalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tauraco persa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | INC |
INC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Andropadus virens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Apus caffer | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Aquila rapax | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Aquila wahlbergi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea melanocephala | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
INC |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | INC |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Batis erlangeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Batis orientalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bradypterus baboecala | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera cailliautii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius forbesi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius pecuarius | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla flavicollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Colius striatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracias cyanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha albicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Euplectes axillaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis savilei | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco biarmicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Francolinus albogularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo leucosoma | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
INC |
|
| Hylia prasina | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota flavigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Indicator maculatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius excubitoroides | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius guifsobalito | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius rolleti | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax gabar | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops albicollis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops variegatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Necrosyrtes monachus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia cuprea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Passer luteus | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Platysteira cyanea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus meyeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prionops plumatus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Tauraco leucolophus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tockus fasciatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides reinwardii | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vidua togoensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua wilsoni | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model