Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Classified Forest Name Unknown CIV No1
WDPA ID
300739
Country
CIV
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
24
|
|
| Bird |
27
|
308
|
|
| Mammal |
3
|
97
|
|
| Total | 34 |
429 |
7 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Elminia longicauda | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Merops apiaster | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bubo poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | INC |
INC |
|
| Nicator chloris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus brachyrhynchus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus latirostris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pogoniulus bilineatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Buccanodon duchaillui | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
INC |
|
| Alethe diademata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bleda canicapillus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus monachus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercococcyx mechowi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola eximius | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendrocopos obsoletus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos gabonensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dicrurus ludwigii | INC |
INC |
|
| Drymocichla incana | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rubricata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malimbus nitens | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Malimbus rubricollis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia adelberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia venusta | INC |
INC |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nigrita bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Onychognathus morio | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
INC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Platysteira blissetti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus robustus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra australis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus hartlaubi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Treron calvus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur tympanistria | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
NO CHANGE |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
