Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Gbanala
WDPA ID
300749
Country
CIV
IUCN category
Not Reported
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
4
|
23
|
|
| Bird |
30
|
291
|
|
| Mammal |
5
|
103
|
|
| Total | 39 |
417 |
9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caprimulgus europaeus | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco peregrinus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Himantopus himantopus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus apus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco alopex | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Apus pallidus | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus pygargus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tachymarptis melba | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cuculus canorus | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | Apodiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tauraco persa | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cossypha cyanocampter | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Camaroptera chloronota | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Centropus leucogaster | Cuculiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anthreptes rectirostris | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Merops apiaster | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | INC |
INC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Accipiter erythropus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Elminia longicauda | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | INC |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telacanthura ussheri | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bubo poensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Bycanistes fistulator | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus subsulphureus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pteronetta hartlaubii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Tricholaema hirsuta | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera nivosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus insignis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trochocercus nitens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Andropadus gracilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stiphrornis erythrothorax | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Baeopogon indicator | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chlorocichla simplex | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pogoniulus scolopaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur brehmeri | INC |
INC |
|
| Gymnobucco calvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sylvietta virens | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura pulchra | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba iriditorques | INC |
INC |
|
| Criniger calurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia verticalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Pogoniulus atroflavus | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia superba | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria cinerascens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa epulata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phyllastrephus albigularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Platysteira castanea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Muscicapa cassini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Glareola nuchalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis fulvescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa comitata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia johannae | INC |
INC |
|
| Sylvietta denti | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia seimundi | INC |
INC |
|
| Thescelocichla leucopleura | INC |
INC |
|
| Corythaeola cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Buccanodon duchaillui | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis splendidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus ruficollis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Apalis rufogularis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Scotopelia bouvieri | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Gyps rueppellii | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus lathami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lybius bidentatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Tigriornis leucolopha | INC |
INC |
|
| Tockus erythrorhynchus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Accipiter tachiro | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Aenigmatolimnas marginalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Agapornis pullarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Alcedo leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo quadribrachys | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Alethe poliocephala | INC |
INC |
|
| Amadina fasciata | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | INC |
INC |
|
| Amblyospiza albifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas capensis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus gracilirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Andropadus virens | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anomalospiza imberbis | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus punctifrons | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes fraseri | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes gabonicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthreptes longuemarei | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthreptes platurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anthus similis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis flavida | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apalis sharpii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apaloderma narina | INC |
INC |
|
| Aplopelia larvata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balaeniceps rex | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus capensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Bycanistes subcylindricus | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera superciliaris | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campephaga phoenicea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera abingoni | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera caroli | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Campethera maculosa | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus inornatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Caprimulgus natalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus nigriscapularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Caprimulgus tristigma | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceratogymna elata | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela familiaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ceuthmochares aereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ceyx lecontei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola brachypterus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola eximius | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola guinea | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola lateralis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Cisticola robustus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola ruficeps | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola rufus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola troglodytes | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Clamator jacobinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Columba guinea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Coracias naevia | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Coracina pectoralis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cossypha polioptera | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
INC |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus solitarius | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dendropicos fuscescens | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza cabanisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza tahapisi | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremomela icteropygialis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremopterix nigriceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Erythrocercus mccallii | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia leucosticta | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda astrild | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes ardens | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes hordeaceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes macroura | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Euschistospiza dybowskii | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco cuvierii | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus ahantensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
INC |
|
| Fraseria ocreata | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Guttera pucherani | INC |
INC |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Halcyon malimbica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus ayresii | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hippolais pallida | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo nigrita | INC |
INC |
|
| Hyliota violacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Illadopsis puveli | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator exilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Indicator willcocksi | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta larvata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rara | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Lagonosticta rhodopareia | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalcurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis chalybaeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius collaris | INC |
INC |
|
| Lanius gubernator | INC |
INC |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura bicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cucullata | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura fringilloides | INC |
INC |
|
| Macheiramphus alcinus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Macrosphenus concolor | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus blanchoti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Malaconotus cruentus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Malimbus nitens | INC |
INC |
|
| Malimbus scutatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Megabyas flammulatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Melichneutes robustus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Melierax metabates | INC |
INC |
|
| Melocichla mentalis | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops nubicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra cantillans | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra cordofanica | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Motacilla aguimp | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Motacilla clara | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa caerulescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
INC |
|
| Myioparus plumbeus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla aethiops | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla nigra | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia coccinigaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia olivacea | INC |
INC |
|
| Nectarinia pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Neocossyphus poensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nesocharis capistrata | INC |
INC |
|
| Nigrita fusconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oena capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus fulgidus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Oriolus auratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Oriolus nigripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pachycoccyx audeberti | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Parus funereus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Phalacrocorax africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllanthus atripennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | INC |
INC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus melanocephalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigerrimus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus nigricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus superciliosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ploceus vitellinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops caniceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne obscura | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pseudhirundo griseopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pyrenestes ostrinus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrenestes sanguineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pyrrhurus scandens | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pytilia hypogrammica | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea erythrops | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rallus caerulescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Sagittarius serpentarius | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura elegans | INC |
INC |
|
| Sarothrura rufa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Schoenicola brevirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus leucopygius | INC |
INC |
|
| Spermophaga haematina | INC |
INC |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia decipiens | INC |
INC |
|
| Tchagra minutus | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus multicolor | INC |
INC |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Threskiornis aethiopicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thripias pyrrhogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Trachyphonus purpuratus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turtur abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Urocolius macrourus | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Vanellus lugubris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus tectus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua camerunensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua interjecta | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua larvaticola | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua paradisaea | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua raricola | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
