Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Classified Forest Name Unknown CIV No19

  • WDPA ID

    300805

  • Country

    CIV

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
27
Bird
51
366
Mammal
7
116
Total
61
509

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.7%
  • 17.1%
  • 35.9%
  • 19.4%
  • 32.8%
  • 44.3%
Mammal
  • 14.7%
  • 18.7%
  • 34.5%
  • 20.0%
  • 34.6%
  • 44.7%
Amphibian
  • 7.1%
  • 12.7%
  • 37.7%
  • 14.6%
  • 43.8%
  • 54.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
INC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
NO CHANGE
INC
Trochocercus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
INC
INC
Smithornis rufolateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Columba iriditorques
DEC
DEC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa epulata
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
INC
Platysteira castanea
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
INC
NO CHANGE
Canirallus oculeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
INC
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
INC
INC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bradornis pallidus
DEC
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
DEC
DEC
Calyptocichla serina
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
DEC
DEC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera caroli
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola natalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina azurea
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
DEC
Dendropicos gabonensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus gularis
DEC
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon badia
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo nigrita
DEC
DEC
Hirundo preussi
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
INC
INC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
INC
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
INC
Malimbus rubricollis
INC
INC
Malimbus scutatus
DEC
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra africana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla nigra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
DEC
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
DEC
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
DEC
DEC
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
DEC
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
DEC
DEC
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model