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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Kiri

  • WDPA ID

    300810

  • Country

    NGA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
24
Bird
28
323
Mammal
5
89
Total
35
436

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 14.7%
  • 18.2%
  • 21.3%
  • 17.6%
  • 21.2%
  • 28.5%
Mammal
  • 13.6%
  • 16.3%
  • 19.2%
  • 16.0%
  • 19.3%
  • 24.2%
Amphibian
  • 11.9%
  • 16.3%
  • 22.6%
  • 14.4%
  • 23.1%
  • 33.8%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola cinerea Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia bouvieri Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Circaetus beaudouini
INC
INC
Lybius leucocephalus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Elminia nigromitrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops malimbicus
INC
INC
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
INC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pteronetta hartlaubii
INC
INC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
INC
INC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
INC
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
INC
INC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
INC
NO CHANGE
Baeopogon indicator
INC
INC
Chlorocichla simplex
INC
INC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
INC
INC
Turtur brehmeri
INC
INC
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Columba iriditorques
INC
INC
Criniger calurus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
INC
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
INC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes rectirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa comitata
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta denti
INC
INC
Nectarinia seimundi
INC
INC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
INC
INC
Corythaeola cristata
INC
INC
Buccanodon duchaillui
NO CHANGE
INC
Gymnobucco peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixonotus guttatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus senegalensis
INC
INC
Prinia leucopogon
INC
NO CHANGE
Pseudoalcippe abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
INC
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
INC
INC
Lybius dubius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
DEC
Acrocephalus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Alethe diademata
NO CHANGE
INC
Alethe poliocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
DEC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
INC
Andropadus virens
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes fraseri
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
DEC
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Apaloderma narina
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma vittatum
DEC
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
INC
INC
Apus horus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis erlangeri
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
INC
INC
Bradypterus baboecala
NO CHANGE
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera superciliaris
INC
INC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
INC
INC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Chloropeta natalensis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola ruficeps
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
INC
INC
Clytospiza monteiri
NO CHANGE
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha heuglini
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
DEC
DEC
Cossypha polioptera
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos gabonensis
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythrocercus mccallii
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes capensis
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
INC
Fraseria ocreata
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
INC
Gymnobucco bonapartei
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
NO CHANGE
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Jynx ruficollis
NO CHANGE
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macronyx croceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
NO CHANGE
INC
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
INC
INC
Megabyas flammulatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Merops variegatus
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Motacilla clara
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Musophaga rossae
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
INC
Nectarinia preussi
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus fulgidus
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus nigripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Passer griseus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
INC
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllolais pulchella
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Ploceus baglafecht
DEC
DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus ocularis
DEC
DEC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poicephalus robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
NO CHANGE
Prionops caniceps
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pyrrhurus scandens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia hypogrammica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
INC
Quelea quelea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
INC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias namaquus
NO CHANGE
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
INC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
INC
INC
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus crassirostris
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Kiri (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Kiri