Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Classified Forest Name Unknown CIV No26

  • WDPA ID

    300820

  • Country

    CIV

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
27
Bird
69
363
Mammal
7
118
Total
77
508

15 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 12.8%
  • 16.8%
  • 22.7%
  • 14.9%
  • 20.9%
  • 28.7%
Mammal
  • 16.1%
  • 22.6%
  • 29.5%
  • 15.7%
  • 24.9%
  • 32.0%
Amphibian
  • 17.8%
  • 36.8%
  • 52.5%
  • 20.2%
  • 36.6%
  • 52.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa epulata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo leucostictus Strigiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Myioparus griseigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sheppardia cyornithopsis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bostrychia olivacea Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Elminia nigromitrata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes fistulator
INC
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prodotiscus insignis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trochocercus nitens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia rara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus latirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur brehmeri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gymnobucco calvus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Centropus leucogaster
INC
INC
Nectarinia verticalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus icterinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa epulata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa olivascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neafrapus cassini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira castanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus griseigularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tauraco macrorhynchus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pholidornis rushiae
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus ansorgei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
INC
Bleda syndactylus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stizorhina fraseri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia batesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira concreta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis rufipennis
INC
INC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia fuliginosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia reichenbachii
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis rufogularis
INC
INC
Scotopelia bouvieri
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter castanilius
NO CHANGE
INC
Macrosphenus flavicans
NO CHANGE
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa sethsmithi
NO CHANGE
INC
Bleda notatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Baeopogon clamans
NO CHANGE
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
INC
Tockus nasutus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius bidentatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
INC
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
INC
Alethe castanea
INC
INC
Alethe poliocephala
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus gracilirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes fraseri
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus similis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apaloderma narina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aplopelia larvata
DEC
DEC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Balaeniceps rex
NO CHANGE
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
INC
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
DEC
DEC
Cercococcyx mechowi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chrysococcyx flavigularis
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Cisticola anonymus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola eximius
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha polioptera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
DEC
DEC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus icterorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus squamatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
NO CHANGE
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Haliaeetus vocifer
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator willcocksi
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
INC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus malimbicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus scutatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Mandingoa nitidula
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Megabyas flammulatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melichneutes robustus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
DEC
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
DEC
Motacilla clara
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
INC
INC
Nectarinia adelberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nigrita fusconotus
INC
INC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phalacrocorax africanus
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
INC
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus albinucha
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus aurantius
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus preussi
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poeoptera lugubris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Poicephalus gulielmi
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
INC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
INC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhaphidura sabini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura rufa
NO CHANGE
INC
Sasia africana
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus hartlaubi
INC
NO CHANGE
Trachyphonus purpuratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron calvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
INC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
NO CHANGE
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua raricola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
INC
Zoothera princei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model