Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Classified Forest Name Unknown CIV No49

  • WDPA ID

    300856

  • Country

    CIV

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
25
Bird
69
370
Mammal
8
126
Total
78
521

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 23.3%
  • 30.7%
  • 42.3%
  • 33.0%
  • 41.3%
  • 51.2%
Mammal
  • 23.9%
  • 34.6%
  • 45.1%
  • 35.8%
  • 43.5%
  • 62.4%
Amphibian
  • 19.5%
  • 35.1%
  • 47.9%
  • 34.3%
  • 49.3%
  • 71.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes cylindricus Coraciiformes
VU
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bleda eximius Passeriformes
NT
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus icterinus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Scotopelia ussheri Strigiformes
VU
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia minulla Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Corythaeola cristata Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops apiaster Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
DEC
DEC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
DEC
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
DEC
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
DEC
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
DEC
DEC
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
DEC
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
DEC
DEC
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Centropus leucogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba iriditorques
DEC
DEC
Criniger calurus
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
DEC
DEC
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
DEC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa epulata
DEC
DEC
Bubo leucostictus
INC
NO CHANGE
Phyllastrephus albigularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira castanea
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa cassini
DEC
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
DEC
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
INC
INC
Telacanthura melanopygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
DEC
DEC
Columba unicincta
INC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis cleaveri
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
INC
NO CHANGE
Buccanodon duchaillui
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
DEC
DEC
Stizorhina fraseri
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
DEC
DEC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
DEC
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
DEC
DEC
Alethe diademata
DEC
DEC
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
DEC
DEC
Apaloderma narina
INC
INC
Aquila africanus
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
NO CHANGE
Calyptocichla serina
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
DEC
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
NO CHANGE
INC
Campethera caroli
DEC
DEC
Campethera maculosa
DEC
DEC
Campethera punctuligera
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Ceratogymna elata
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx mechowi
DEC
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina azurea
DEC
NO CHANGE
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos gabonensis
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
NO CHANGE
INC
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
DEC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
DEC
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
DEC
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
DEC
DEC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
DEC
DEC
Euschistospiza dybowskii
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco biarmicus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus ahantensis
DEC
DEC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
DEC
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Guttera pucherani
DEC
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
DEC
DEC
Gyps africanus
INC
INC
Halcyon badia
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Himantornis haematopus
DEC
DEC
Hirundo abyssinica
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
DEC
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
INC
INC
Illadopsis puveli
DEC
DEC
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator maculatus
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
DEC
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lamprotornis caudatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius leucorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius gubernator
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrosphenus kempi
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
DEC
DEC
Malimbus rubricollis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Malimbus scutatus
DEC
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
DEC
DEC
Megaceryle maxima
DEC
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
NO CHANGE
Melichneutes robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
DEC
Motacilla clara
NO CHANGE
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neocossyphus poensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oena capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
DEC
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
DEC
NO CHANGE
Parus funereus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
INC
INC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Pitta angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira blissetti
DEC
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
INC
INC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes ostrinus
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Rhaphidura sabini
DEC
DEC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sarothrura elegans
INC
NO CHANGE
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Smithornis capensis
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Thripias pyrrhogaster
DEC
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
DEC
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
DEC
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
INC
NO CHANGE
Turnix hottentottus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
INC
INC
Turtur tympanistria
DEC
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
INC
INC
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua larvaticola
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
DEC
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
DEC
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model