Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Obrachere 1

  • WDPA ID

    303958

  • Country

    GHA

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Obrachere 1 is among the top 75 protected areas assessed as being the most vulnerable to climate change by 2025 (with a 95% uncertainty level)

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
0
32
Bird
87
385
Mammal
11
127
Total
98
544

18 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 22.8%
  • 29.2%
  • 46.8%
  • 33.1%
  • 45.4%
  • 59.0%
Mammal
  • 24.9%
  • 34.8%
  • 52.8%
  • 37.6%
  • 52.4%
  • 64.5%
Amphibian
  • 21.3%
  • 33.1%
  • 54.0%
  • 37.5%
  • 55.8%
  • 80.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia chloropygia Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Psalidoprocne nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia nigromitrata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Merops malimbicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bubo poensis Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus subsulphureus Piciformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pteronetta hartlaubii Anseriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tricholaema hirsuta Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Trochocercus nitens Passeriformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus gracilis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Oriolus brachyrhynchus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stiphrornis erythrothorax Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus latirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Baeopogon indicator Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Chlorocichla simplex Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus scolopaceus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Turtur brehmeri Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Urotriorchis macrourus Falconiformes
LC
  • Habitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco calvus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Sylvietta virens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sarothrura pulchra Gruiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Smithornis rufolateralis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba iriditorques Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Criniger calurus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus atroflavus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Merops gularis Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia superba Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa epulata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia minulla Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Phyllastrephus albigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Platysteira castanea Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bias musicus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa cassini Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Myioparus griseigularis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco macrorhynchus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pholidornis rushiae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Andropadus ansorgei Passeriformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anthreptes rectirostris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ceratogymna atrata Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Glareola nuchalis Charadriiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis fulvescens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Muscicapa comitata Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia johannae Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Sylvietta denti Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia seimundi Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Columba unicincta Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bleda syndactylus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buccanodon duchaillui Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gymnobucco peli Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ixonotus guttatus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Stizorhina fraseri Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Illadopsis rufipennis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis aequatorialis Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glareola cinerea
INC
INC
Elminia longicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne nitens
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
NO CHANGE
DEC
Elminia nigromitrata
DEC
DEC
Bubo poensis
DEC
DEC
Bycanistes fistulator
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus subsulphureus
DEC
DEC
Pteronetta hartlaubii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tricholaema hirsuta
DEC
DEC
Campethera nivosa
DEC
DEC
Cossypha cyanocampter
DEC
DEC
Nicator chloris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prodotiscus insignis
DEC
DEC
Psittacus erithacus
INC
INC
Trochocercus nitens
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilis
DEC
DEC
Bostrychia rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus brachyrhynchus
DEC
DEC
Stiphrornis erythrothorax
DEC
DEC
Andropadus latirostris
DEC
DEC
Baeopogon indicator
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla simplex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus scolopaceus
DEC
DEC
Turtur brehmeri
DEC
DEC
Urotriorchis macrourus
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco calvus
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta virens
DEC
DEC
Sarothrura pulchra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Smithornis rufolateralis
DEC
DEC
Columba iriditorques
NO CHANGE
DEC
Criniger calurus
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia verticalis
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus atroflavus
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus icterinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops gularis
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia superba
DEC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa epulata
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa olivascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo leucostictus
DEC
DEC
Neafrapus cassini
DEC
DEC
Phyllastrephus albigularis
DEC
DEC
Platysteira castanea
DEC
DEC
Bias musicus
DEC
DEC
Dryotriorchis spectabilis
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa cassini
DEC
DEC
Myioparus griseigularis
DEC
DEC
Tauraco macrorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Pholidornis rushiae
DEC
DEC
Andropadus ansorgei
DEC
DEC
Canirallus oculeus
DEC
DEC
Ceratogymna atrata
DEC
DEC
Glareola nuchalis
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis fulvescens
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa comitata
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia johannae
DEC
DEC
Telacanthura melanopygia
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia seimundi
DEC
DEC
Thescelocichla leucopleura
DEC
DEC
Columba unicincta
DEC
NO CHANGE
Corythaeola cristata
DEC
DEC
Illadopsis cleaveri
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia cyanolaema
DEC
DEC
Bleda syndactylus
DEC
DEC
Buccanodon duchaillui
DEC
DEC
Gymnobucco peli
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis rufipennis
DEC
DEC
Sheppardia cyornithopsis
INC
NO CHANGE
Bostrychia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tachymarptis aequatorialis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bycanistes albotibialis
INC
INC
Apalis rufogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia bouvieri
INC
INC
Accipiter castanilius
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia rubescens
INC
INC
Bleda notatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus camurus
INC
INC
Francolinus lathami
DEC
DEC
Uromanis tetradactyla
DEC
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus castaneiceps
DEC
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
DEC
DEC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Agapornis pullarius
DEC
NO CHANGE
Agapornis swindernianus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alcedo leucogaster
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alethe castanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Alethe diademata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alethe poliocephala
DEC
DEC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
INC
INC
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amblyospiza albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus curvirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus gracilirostris
DEC
DEC
Andropadus virens
DEC
DEC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus flavifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus parvulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes collaris
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes fraseri
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes gabonicus
DEC
DEC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis sharpii
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Aquila africanus
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
DEC
DEC
Balaeniceps rex
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis occulta
DEC
DEC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buphagus africanus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
INC
INC
Burhinus vermiculatus
INC
INC
Butastur rufipennis
INC
INC
Bycanistes subcylindricus
INC
INC
Calyptocichla serina
DEC
DEC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Camaroptera superciliaris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Campephaga quiscalina
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera cailliautii
INC
INC
Campethera caroli
DEC
DEC
Campethera maculosa
DEC
DEC
Campethera punctuligera
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus natalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus nigriscapularis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
INC
Ceratogymna elata
DEC
DEC
Cercococcyx mechowi
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercococcyx olivinus
DEC
DEC
Ceyx lecontei
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
INC
INC
Circaetus cinerascens
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola brachypterus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
DEC
DEC
Cisticola eximius
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
DEC
DEC
Cisticola ruficeps
NO CHANGE
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Cisticola troglodytes
NO CHANGE
INC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
INC
INC
Columba guinea
INC
INC
Coracias abyssinicus
INC
INC
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
INC
INC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Corvinella corvina
INC
INC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Cossypha natalensis
INC
INC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
DEC
DEC
Criniger barbatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
DEC
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos gabonensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
DEC
DEC
Drymocichla incana
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus sabini
DEC
DEC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Empidornis semipartitus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela badiceps
DEC
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythrocercus mccallii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythropygia galactotes
NO CHANGE
INC
Erythropygia leucosticta
DEC
DEC
Estrilda astrild
NO CHANGE
INC
Euplectes ardens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes hordeaceus
DEC
DEC
Euplectes macroura
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eurystomus gularis
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco biarmicus
INC
INC
Falco chicquera
INC
INC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Francolinus squamatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria ocreata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Galerida modesta
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
INC
INC
Glaucidium tephronotum
INC
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon badia
DEC
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
INC
INC
Halcyon leucocephala
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Himantornis haematopus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo fuligula
DEC
DEC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo nigrita
DEC
DEC
Hirundo preussi
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
INC
Hyliota violacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis puveli
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
DEC
DEC
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator willcocksi
DEC
DEC
Jubula lettii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Laniarius erythrogaster
NO CHANGE
INC
Laniarius leucorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Lanius collaris
DEC
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Macrosphenus concolor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macrosphenus kempi
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
INC
INC
Malaconotus cruentus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus malimbicus
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
DEC
DEC
Malimbus scutatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mandingoa nitidula
DEC
DEC
Megabyas flammulatus
DEC
DEC
Melichneutes robustus
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melocichla mentalis
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
INC
INC
Merops mentalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
INC
INC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
DEC
DEC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Muscicapa infuscata
INC
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia adelberti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia olivacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
INC
INC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nigrita canicapillus
DEC
DEC
Nigrita luteifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
INC
INC
Numida meleagris
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus fulgidus
DEC
DEC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Oriolus nigripennis
DEC
DEC
Otus icterorhynchus
DEC
DEC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Otus senegalensis
INC
INC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
INC
Parus funereus
DEC
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
INC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus bollei
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
DEC
DEC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platysteira blissetti
DEC
DEC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus aurantius
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus pelzelni
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus tricolor
DEC
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
INC
INC
Poeoptera lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Poicephalus senegalus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
INC
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles quadricinctus
INC
INC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes ostrinus
DEC
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
DEC
DEC
Pytilia hypogrammica
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhaphidura sabini
DEC
DEC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Smithornis capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
DEC
DEC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
INC
INC
Sylvietta brachyura
INC
INC
Tchagra australis
DEC
DEC
Tchagra minutus
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Thripias pyrrhogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus hartlaubi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trachyphonus purpuratus
DEC
DEC
Treron calvus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
INC
INC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Tropicranus albocristatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides plebejus
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turnix hottentottus
INC
INC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur tympanistria
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
INC
INC
Vanellus spinosus
INC
INC
Vanellus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Vanellus tectus
INC
INC
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Zoothera princei
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model