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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Bafing

  • WDPA ID

    317194

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
24
Bird
33
329
Mammal
3
80
Total
40
433

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.0%
  • 14.9%
  • 21.5%
  • 15.7%
  • 26.3%
  • 40.6%
Mammal
  • 12.6%
  • 17.2%
  • 27.3%
  • 17.5%
  • 32.1%
  • 57.3%
Amphibian
  • 4.7%
  • 12.9%
  • 32.4%
  • 8.8%
  • 31.9%
  • 66.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Cossypha cyanocampter Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Camaroptera chloronota Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Elminia longicauda
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
INC
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
DEC
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Centropus monachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
DEC
DEC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo preussi
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Illadopsis puveli
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta larvata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rara
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
INC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nesocharis capistrata
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Numida meleagris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Pachycoccyx audeberti
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniconaias minor
INC
NO CHANGE
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
INC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
INC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra minutus
NO CHANGE
INC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus multicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus fasciatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua camerunensis
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua macroura
INC
INC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Bafing (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Bafing