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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sousan

  • WDPA ID

    3213

  • Country

    MLI

  • IUCN category

    IV

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
25
Bird
34
341
Mammal
1
75
Total
39
441

8 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 8.7%
  • 11.6%
  • 20.0%
  • 12.8%
  • 19.8%
  • 34.0%
Mammal
  • 13.6%
  • 18.5%
  • 26.7%
  • 17.8%
  • 27.7%
  • 42.2%
Amphibian
  • 5.2%
  • 11.9%
  • 25.2%
  • 7.8%
  • 22.4%
  • 50.6%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tachymarptis melba Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus aegyptius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Caprimulgus ruficollis Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Asio flammeus Strigiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Cossypha cyanocampter
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nicator chloris
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia verticalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Fraseria cinerascens
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
INC
INC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
INC
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
INC
INC
Agapornis pullarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
NO CHANGE
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
NO CHANGE
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas hottentota
INC
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Andropadus gracilirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Andropadus virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes collaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes gabonicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aplopelia larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
INC
INC
Bleda canicapillus
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera maculosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
INC
Caprimulgus tristigma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Centropus monachus
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
DEC
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinereus
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola lateralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola natalensis
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus rhipidurus
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
INC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dicrurus ludwigii
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta ardesiaca
INC
INC
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes axillaris
INC
INC
Euplectes macroura
INC
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
INC
INC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus coqui
INC
INC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
DEC
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator exilis
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rara
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Lanius collaris
INC
INC
Lanius excubitoroides
INC
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Macheiramphus alcinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
INC
INC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops pusillus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra albicauda
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Motacilla clara
INC
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
NO CHANGE
INC
Neotis denhami
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nesocharis capistrata
INC
NO CHANGE
Nigrita bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Pinarocorys erythropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polyboroides typus
INC
INC
Prodotiscus regulus
NO CHANGE
INC
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
INC
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pyrrhurus scandens
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
DEC
DEC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus multicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
INC
INC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vidua larvaticola
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua togoensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Sousan (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Sousan