Climate change vulnerability assessments
The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this
map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United
Nations or IUCN
Name
Gadabedji
WDPA ID
3230
Country
NER
IUCN category
IV
Species vulnerable to climate change
According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)
| Vulnerable Species | Total Species | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Amphibian |
0
|
4
|
|
| Bird |
31
|
187
|
|
| Mammal |
10
|
44
|
|
| Total | 41 |
235 |
17 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change
Expected species turnover
According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)
Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)
| by 2010-2039 | by 2040-2069 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Bird |
|
|
|
| Mammal |
|
|
|
| Amphibian |
|
|
Vulnerable species
| Name | Order | Exposure by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069 |
IUCN Red List category | Sensitivity to climate change |
Adaptability to climate change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lybius vieilloti | Piciformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Pelecanus onocrotalus | Pelecaniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa totanus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas crecca | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Chelictinia riocourii | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Numenius arquata | Charadriiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Rhinopomastus aterrimus | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus macrourus | Falconiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Falco subbuteo | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ortyxelos meiffrenii | Gruiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Anas acuta | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Ciconia ciconia | Ciconiiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Hieraaetus pennatus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Lymnocryptes minimus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Tringa erythropus | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circaetus gallicus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Upupa epops | Coraciiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Circus aeruginosus | Falconiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neophron percnopterus | Falconiformes |
|
EN |
|
|
| Aythya nyroca | Anseriformes |
|
NT |
|
|
| Streptopelia turtur | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Struthio camelus | Struthioniformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Recurvirostra avosetta | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | Columbiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Marmaronetta angustirostris | Anseriformes |
|
VU |
|
|
| Aythya fuligula | Anseriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Corvus ruficollis | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Cursorius cursor | Charadriiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Turdoides fulva | Passeriformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Caprimulgus eximius | Caprimulgiformes |
|
LC |
|
|
| Neotis nuba | Gruiformes |
|
NT |
|
|
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments
Expected changes in climate suitability
| Name | By 2010-2039 | By 2040-2069 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelictinia riocourii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Torgos tracheliotos | INC |
INC |
|
| Falco alopex | INC |
INC |
|
| Bucorvus abyssinicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Glareola cinerea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Circaetus beaudouini | INC |
INC |
|
| Struthio camelus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ardeotis arabs | INC |
INC |
|
| Streptopelia roseogrisea | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Nectarinia chloropygia | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cursorius cursor | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turdoides fulva | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Neotis nuba | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Aquila verreauxii | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Bubo ascalaphus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lybius dubius | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter melanoleucus | INC |
INC |
|
| Accipiter ovampensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus gracilirostris | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Acrocephalus rufescens | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Actophilornis africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Alaemon alaudipes | INC |
INC |
|
| Alcedo cristata | INC |
INC |
|
| Alopochen aegyptiaca | INC |
INC |
|
| Amandava subflava | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes cinctura | INC |
INC |
|
| Ammomanes deserti | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Anaplectes rubriceps | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas capensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anas hottentota | INC |
INC |
|
| Anas sparsa | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anastomus lamelligerus | DEC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Anhinga rufa | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthoscopus parvulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus leucophrys | INC |
INC |
|
| Anthus similis | INC |
INC |
|
| Apaloderma narina | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Apus caffer | INC |
INC |
|
| Ardea goliath | INC |
INC |
|
| Asio capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Aviceda cuculoides | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Balearica pavonina | INC |
INC |
|
| Bostrychia hagedash | INC |
INC |
|
| Bradornis pallidus | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubalornis albirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Bubo africanus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Bucanetes githagineus | INC |
INC |
|
| Buphagus africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Burhinus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Butastur rufipennis | INC |
INC |
|
| Camaroptera brachyura | INC |
INC |
|
| Campethera punctuligera | INC |
INC |
|
| Centropus grillii | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercomela melanura | INC |
INC |
|
| Cercotrichas podobe | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ceyx pictus | INC |
INC |
|
| Charadrius marginatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Chrysococcyx cupreus | INC |
INC |
|
| Chrysococcyx klaas | INC |
INC |
|
| Ciconia abdimii | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Ciconia episcopus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cinnyricinclus leucogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Circaetus cinereus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aberrans | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola aridulus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola cantans | INC |
INC |
|
| Cisticola erythrops | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Cisticola galactotes | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Cisticola natalensis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Clamator levaillantii | INC |
INC |
|
| Coracias naevia | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvinella corvina | INC |
INC |
|
| Corvus rhipidurus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cossypha niveicapilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Coturnix delegorguei | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Crecopsis egregia | INC |
INC |
|
| Crinifer piscator | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus clamosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Cuculus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Cypsiurus parvus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Dendropicos elachus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Dicrurus adsimilis | INC |
INC |
|
| Egretta ardesiaca | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Egretta gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza affinis | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Emberiza flaviventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Emberiza striolata | INC |
INC |
|
| Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eremalauda dunni | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Eremomela pusilla | INC |
INC |
|
| Erythropygia galactotes | INC |
INC |
|
| Estrilda melpoda | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Estrilda troglodytes | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Euplectes franciscanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis melanogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Eupodotis senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Eurystomus glaucurus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Falco cuvierii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus clappertoni | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Francolinus coqui | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Galerida modesta | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gallinula angulata | INC |
INC |
|
| Glaucidium perlatum | INC |
INC |
|
| Gorsachius leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Gypohierax angolensis | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Gyps africanus | INC |
INC |
|
| Hieraaetus spilogaster | INC |
INC |
|
| Hippolais pallida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo abyssinica | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo aethiopica | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Hirundo fuligula | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo lucida | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo obsoleta | INC |
INC |
|
| Hirundo preussi | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Hirundo senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Hypergerus atriceps | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Indicator indicator | INC |
INC |
|
| Indicator minor | INC |
INC |
|
| Ixobrychus sturmii | INC |
INC |
|
| Kaupifalco monogrammicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta rufopicta | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Lagonosticta senegala | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis caudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lamprotornis pulcher | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lamprotornis purpureus | INC |
INC |
|
| Laniarius aethiopicus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Laniarius erythrogaster | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Lanius collaris | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Leptoptilos crumeniferus | INC |
INC |
|
| Lonchura cantans | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Lophaetus occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Macronyx croceus | INC |
INC |
|
| Megaceryle maxima | INC |
INC |
|
| Melaenornis edolioides | INC |
INC |
|
| Melierax metabates | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops albicollis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Merops bulocki | INC |
INC |
|
| Merops hirundineus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Merops pusillus | INC |
INC |
|
| Mesopicos goertae | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Microparra capensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra africana | INC |
INC |
|
| Mirafra albicauda | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Mirafra rufocinnamomea | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa aquatica | INC |
INC |
|
| Muscicapa gambagae | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Musophaga violacea | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Myrmecocichla albifrons | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nectarinia senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Neotis denhami | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Nilaus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Numida meleagris | INC |
INC |
|
| Oenanthe leucopyga | INC |
INC |
|
| Onychognathus morio | INC |
INC |
|
| Ortygospiza atricollis | INC |
INC |
|
| Otus leucotis | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Passer luteus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Pelecanus rufescens | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Petronia dentata | INC |
INC |
|
| Petronia pyrgita | INC |
INC |
|
| Phoenicopterus roseus | INC |
INC |
|
| Phyllolais pulchella | INC |
INC |
|
| Pinarocorys erythropygia | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Plectropterus gambensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Plegadis falcinellus | NO CHANGE |
DEC |
|
| Plocepasser superciliosus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus heuglini | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Ploceus luteolus | INC |
INC |
|
| Pluvianus aegyptius | INC |
INC |
|
| Podica senegalensis | INC |
INC |
|
| Poicephalus senegalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Porphyrio alleni | INC |
INC |
|
| Prionops plumatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Prodotiscus regulus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Psalidoprocne pristoptera | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Pterocles lichtensteinii | INC |
INC |
|
| Pterocles quadricinctus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Pterocles senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilopachus petrosus | INC |
INC |
|
| Ptilostomus afer | INC |
INC |
|
| Pytilia melba | INC |
INC |
|
| Quelea quelea | INC |
INC |
|
| Rhinoptilus chalcopterus | INC |
INC |
|
| Rynchops flavirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Scotopelia peli | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Serinus gularis | INC |
INC |
|
| Serinus mozambicus | INC |
INC |
|
| Spiloptila clamans | NO CHANGE |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Sporopipes frontalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Stephanoaetus coronatus | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Streptopelia semitorquata | INC |
INC |
|
| Strix woodfordii | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Telophorus sulfureopectus | NO CHANGE |
INC |
|
| Terathopius ecaudatus | INC |
INC |
|
| Terpsiphone viridis | INC |
INC |
|
| Thalassornis leuconotus | INC |
INC |
|
| Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris | INC |
INC |
|
| Trachyphonus margaritatus | DEC |
DEC |
|
| Treron waalia | INC |
INC |
|
| Trigonoceps occipitalis | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdoides plebejus | INC |
INC |
|
| Turdus pelios | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Turtur afer | INC |
NO CHANGE |
|
| Uraeginthus bengalus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus albiceps | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus crassirostris | INC |
INC |
|
| Vanellus senegallus | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua chalybeata | INC |
INC |
|
| Vidua macroura | INC |
INC |
|
| Zosterops senegalensis | INC |
INC |
The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model
