Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sumbundo

  • WDPA ID

    342660

  • Country

    GNB

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
4
29
Bird
33
308
Mammal
5
94
Total
42
431

9 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 18.0%
  • 24.0%
  • 31.0%
  • 25.0%
  • 35.1%
  • 46.1%
Mammal
  • 18.6%
  • 27.9%
  • 38.7%
  • 28.2%
  • 45.8%
  • 64.6%
Amphibian
  • 13.6%
  • 25.9%
  • 47.8%
  • 21.5%
  • 49.8%
  • 72.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Falco alopex
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta virens
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius bidentatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Alcedo quadribrachys
INC
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
INC
INC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balearica pavonina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bleda canicapillus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera abingoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera maculosa
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
INC
Caprimulgus natalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
NO CHANGE
Ceyx pictus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx caprius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
DEC
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
DEC
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
DEC
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
DEC
DEC
Dicrurus ludwigii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
DEC
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
NO CHANGE
Euplectes macroura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
NO CHANGE
Galerida modesta
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon leucocephala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon malimbica
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Halcyon senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator maculatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
DEC
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Lamprotornis purpureus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
DEC
DEC
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
DEC
DEC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myioparus plumbeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla nigra
INC
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia olivacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus purpureus
DEC
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
DEC
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus robustus
INC
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
DEC
DEC
Prinia subflava
DEC
DEC
Prionops plumatus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Psalidoprocne pristoptera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
DEC
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
DEC
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus fasciatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
DEC
DEC
Vidua interjecta
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua macroura
DEC
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model