Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mansoa

  • WDPA ID

    342662

  • Country

    GNB

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
26
Bird
40
330
Mammal
5
95
Total
48
451

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 9.4%
  • 18.0%
  • 22.1%
  • 17.3%
  • 25.9%
  • 36.1%
Mammal
  • 8.3%
  • 17.3%
  • 24.9%
  • 17.7%
  • 27.1%
  • 45.7%
Amphibian
  • 4.5%
  • 15.6%
  • 28.6%
  • 10.2%
  • 30.5%
  • 63.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Elminia longicauda Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cuculus canorus Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Bycanistes fistulator Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Campethera nivosa Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Declining positive interactions with other species
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nicator chloris Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pogoniulus bilineatus Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Centropus leucogaster Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Fraseria cinerascens Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Thescelocichla leucopleura Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Torgos tracheliotos
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
INC
Glareola cinerea
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Telacanthura ussheri
DEC
DEC
Tricholaema hirsuta
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla simplex
DEC
DEC
Pogoniulus bilineatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta virens
INC
INC
Sarothrura pulchra
DEC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
INC
Nectarinia superba
INC
NO CHANGE
Bias musicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Illadopsis fulvescens
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
INC
Accipiter tachiro
DEC
NO CHANGE
Acrocephalus rufescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Aenigmatolimnas marginalis
NO CHANGE
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
DEC
DEC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amblyospiza albifrons
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anomalospiza imberbis
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
DEC
DEC
Apus caffer
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
INC
INC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
INC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
INC
INC
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubalornis albirostris
INC
INC
Burhinus capensis
INC
INC
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campethera abingoni
INC
INC
Caprimulgus inornatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus tristigma
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Cercomela familiaris
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Ceuthmochares aereus
INC
INC
Ceyx pictus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx caprius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx klaas
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
INC
Cisticola aridulus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Cisticola guinea
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola lateralis
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
INC
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
INC
INC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
INC
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
DEC
DEC
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza cabanisi
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Ephippiorhynchus senegalensis
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremopterix leucotis
INC
INC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda astrild
INC
INC
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes ardens
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
INC
INC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus ahantensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Francolinus clappertoni
NO CHANGE
INC
Francolinus coqui
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Guttera pucherani
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
INC
INC
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
INC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo leucosoma
INC
INC
Hirundo preussi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hirundo semirufa
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
INC
INC
Indicator exilis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta larvata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rubricata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
INC
INC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
INC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
INC
INC
Lonchura cucullata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
INC
Lophaetus occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
INC
Macronyx croceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melocichla mentalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops hirundineus
DEC
DEC
Merops nubicus
INC
INC
Merops pusillus
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
INC
Mirafra africana
INC
INC
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Motacilla aguimp
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Muscicapa caerulescens
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Myioparus plumbeus
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
INC
INC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nesocharis capistrata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nigrita bicolor
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Numida meleagris
DEC
DEC
Oena capensis
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pachycoccyx audeberti
NO CHANGE
INC
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
DEC
DEC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
INC
Ploceus luteolus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigerrimus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
INC
INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus robustus
INC
INC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pseudhirundo griseopyga
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pytilia melba
INC
INC
Quelea quelea
INC
INC
Rallus caerulescens
INC
NO CHANGE
Rhinoptilus chalcopterus
INC
INC
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Schoenicola brevirostris
INC
NO CHANGE
Scotopelia peli
INC
INC
Serinus gularis
NO CHANGE
INC
Serinus leucopygius
INC
INC
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Spermophaga haematina
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Thamnolaea cinnamomeiventris
INC
INC
Turtur afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Urocolius macrourus
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus lugubris
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua interjecta
INC
INC
Vidua macroura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
INC
INC
Vidua wilsoni
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model