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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Sogobe

WDPA ID
352607
Country
SEN
IUCN category
Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

	Vulnerable Species	Total Species
Amphibian	1	7
Bird	45	309
Mammal	6	49
Total	52	365

14 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

	by 2010-2039	by 2040-2069
Bird	15.2% 24.9% 40.8%	27.1% 48.7% 66.9%
Mammal	16.3% 25.2% 41.2%	30.8% 43.3% 62.0%
Amphibian	5.3% 19.7% 39.4%	13.5% 53.1% 86.7%

Vulnerable species

Name	Order	IUCN Red List category	Sensitivity to climate change	Adaptability to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low genetic diversity Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus	Pelecaniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos	Falconiformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus	Apodiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus	Falconiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	Gruiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation	Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia	Ciconiiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops	Coraciiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini	Falconiformes	VU	Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca	Anseriformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus	Struthioniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs	Gruiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus	Falconiformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Glareola nordmanni	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris	Anseriformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Corvus ruficollis	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra	Gruiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Burhinus oedicnemus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Asio flammeus	Strigiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name	By 2010-2039	By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti	NO CHANGE	DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco alopex	INC	NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Struthio camelus	DEC	DEC
Ardeotis arabs	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Telacanthura ussheri	INC	NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa	INC	INC
Corvus ruficollis	INC	INC
Cursorius cursor	DEC	DEC
Turdoides fulva	NO CHANGE	DEC
Caprimulgus eximius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Bubo ascalaphus	INC	NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii	DEC	DEC
Lybius dubius	INC	INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus	INC	NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes	INC	INC
Alcedo cristata	INC	INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca	NO CHANGE	DEC
Amaurornis flavirostra	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ammomanes deserti	INC	INC
Anhinga rufa	INC	INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons	NO CHANGE	DEC
Anthreptes platurus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Anthus similis	INC	INC
Aquila rapax	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ardea melanocephala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Batis senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Bubalornis albirostris	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea	INC	NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus	INC	NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe	DEC	DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus	NO CHANGE	INC
Chrysococcyx klaas	INC	NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii	INC	NO CHANGE
Ciconia episcopus	INC	NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans	INC	NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops	INC	INC
Clamator glandarius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Columba guinea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Coracias abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster	INC	NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Corvus albus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cossypha albicapilla	INC	NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla	INC	INC
Crecopsis egregia	INC	NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus	INC	NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus	INC	NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus	DEC	DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens	INC	NO CHANGE
Dryoscopus gambensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis	INC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris	INC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata	INC	INC
Emberiza tahapisi	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eremomela pusilla	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps	NO CHANGE	DEC
Estrilda melpoda	INC	INC
Euplectes franciscanus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus	INC	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster	INC	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei	DEC	DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eurystomus glaucurus	INC	NO CHANGE
Falco biarmicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco chicquera	NO CHANGE	DEC
Francolinus albogularis	INC	NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Gorsachius leuconotus	INC	INC
Haliaeetus vocifer	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster	INC	NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo lucida	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta	INC	INC
Hirundo senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps	INC	NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalybaeus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus	INC	NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus	INC	INC
Lonchura cantans	DEC	DEC
Megaceryle maxima	INC	INC
Melaenornis edolioides	INC	INC
Melierax gabar	INC	NO CHANGE
Melierax metabates	NO CHANGE	DEC
Merops albicollis	DEC	DEC
Merops nubicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Mesopicos goertae	NO CHANGE	DEC
Mirafra cantillans	NO CHANGE	DEC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea	INC	INC
Muscicapa aquatica	INC	INC
Musophaga violacea	INC	NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops	NO CHANGE	DEC
Nectarinia pulchella	NO CHANGE	DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta	INC	INC
Nilaus afer	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini	INC	NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio	INC	INC
Ortygospiza atricollis	INC	NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis	INC	INC
Passer griseus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Passer luteus	DEC	DEC
Passer simplex	INC	NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Phoeniculus purpureus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Platalea alba	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus	DEC	DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus	INC	INC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus	INC	NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus	INC	NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii	INC	INC
Pterocles senegallus	INC	INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera	INC	NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius	INC	INC
Serinus leucopygius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Serinus mozambicus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans	DEC	DEC
Sporopipes frontalis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Streptopelia semitorquata	INC	INC
Streptopelia vinacea	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Tchagra senegalus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus	INC	NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis	INC	INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turtur afer	INC	NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis	INC	NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Sogobe (CSV file).