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< Return to Official Record for Foret de Mpal

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Mpal

  • WDPA ID

    352611

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
7
Bird
42
319
Mammal
5
46
Total
48
372

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 17.1%
  • 24.3%
  • 34.8%
  • 28.8%
  • 40.5%
  • 53.5%
Mammal
  • 18.9%
  • 24.3%
  • 30.1%
  • 29.6%
  • 37.6%
  • 49.6%
Amphibian
  • 6.3%
  • 15.1%
  • 30.7%
  • 13.9%
  • 34.3%
  • 58.1%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

 IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

 Adaptability

to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco subbuteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Cursorius cursor Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Turdoides fulva Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Fulica atra Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
INC
INC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco alopex
INC
INC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardeotis arabs
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
INC
Lamprotornis splendidus
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
INC
INC
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus punctifrons
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bradornis pallidus
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius marginatus
INC
NO CHANGE
Chlorocichla flavicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
NO CHANGE
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cisticola cantans
INC
INC
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola rufus
INC
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias cyanogaster
INC
INC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
INC
INC
Dendropicos elachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos fuscescens
INC
INC
Dryoscopus gambensis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
INC
INC
Falco ardosiaceus
INC
INC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Francolinus albogularis
INC
INC
Gorsachius leuconotus
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
NO CHANGE
INC
Hirundo lucida
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo semirufa
INC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chloropterus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
INC
NO CHANGE
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia coccinigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
INC
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Prionops plumatus
INC
INC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
INC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Foret de Mpal (CSV file).

< Return to Official Record for Foret de Mpal