Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Boulal

  • WDPA ID

    352619

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
1
8
Bird
37
276
Mammal
3
47
Total
41
331

12 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 16.8%
  • 25.4%
  • 46.8%
  • 26.4%
  • 48.8%
  • 69.6%
Mammal
  • 14.5%
  • 23.9%
  • 46.0%
  • 24.5%
  • 46.9%
  • 63.9%
Amphibian
  • 4.8%
  • 19.0%
  • 39.1%
  • 9.0%
  • 51.4%
  • 79.9%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ortyxelos meiffrenii Gruiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Struthio camelus Struthioniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs Gruiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Caprimulgus eximius Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alcedo cristata
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila wahlbergi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ardea melanocephala
INC
INC
Asio capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
NO CHANGE
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
NO CHANGE
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
DEC
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis
INC
INC
Emberiza affinis
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Eremomela icteropygialis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Estrilda melpoda
INC
NO CHANGE
Estrilda troglodytes
INC
INC
Euplectes afer
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Euplectes hordeaceus
INC
INC
Eupodotis melanogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia venusta
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
NO CHANGE
Ortygospiza atricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
NO CHANGE
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
NO CHANGE
Quelea quelea
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
INC
INC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Strix woodfordii
INC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
INC
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdus pelios
INC
NO CHANGE
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turtur afer
INC
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model