Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Pire-Goureye

  • WDPA ID

    352626

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
12
Bird
39
314
Mammal
3
55
Total
44
381

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 15.4%
  • 22.8%
  • 33.0%
  • 26.2%
  • 37.3%
  • 47.5%
Mammal
  • 16.9%
  • 24.4%
  • 33.4%
  • 26.2%
  • 36.9%
  • 48.9%
Amphibian
  • 6.7%
  • 12.7%
  • 26.4%
  • 12.5%
  • 25.6%
  • 44.2%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Haematopus ostralegus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Larus ridibundus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Calidris alpina Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
INC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Telacanthura ussheri
INC
INC
Tauraco persa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera chloronota
INC
NO CHANGE
Glareola nuchalis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tigriornis leucolopha
INC
INC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
INC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anhinga rufa
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes longuemarei
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apalis flavida
INC
NO CHANGE
Apus caffer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
NO CHANGE
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Charadrius forbesi
INC
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Chrysococcyx klaas
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
INC
INC
Ciconia episcopus
INC
INC
Cisticola brachypterus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola erythrops
INC
INC
Cisticola galactotes
INC
INC
Columba guinea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
INC
INC
Crecopsis egregia
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
INC
INC
Cuculus solitarius
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendropicos elachus
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza affinis
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
INC
INC
Eremalauda dunni
INC
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Eupodotis savilei
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco cuvierii
INC
NO CHANGE
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Gypohierax angolensis
INC
INC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus spilogaster
INC
INC
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hyliota flavigaster
INC
NO CHANGE
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Ixobrychus sturmii
INC
INC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis pulcher
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
INC
INC
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
INC
INC
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melaenornis edolioides
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
INC
INC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
INC
INC
Musophaga violacea
INC
INC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
INC
INC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Passer simplex
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia dentata
INC
INC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Platysteira cyanea
INC
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
INC
INC
Ploceus heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Pyrenestes sanguineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera
INC
INC
Quelea erythrops
INC
NO CHANGE
Rynchops flavirostris
INC
INC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Sporopipes frontalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Strix woodfordii
INC
INC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Terpsiphone viridis
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
INC
INC
Turtur afer
INC
INC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model