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Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mbegue

WDPA ID
352631
Country
SEN
IUCN category
Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

	Vulnerable Species	Total Species
Amphibian	2	18
Bird	34	299
Mammal	5	67
Total	41	384

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

	by 2010-2039	by 2040-2069
Bird	13.2% 20.8% 37.8%	24.2% 44.6% 66.6%
Mammal	11.5% 23.0% 40.3%	23.6% 50.1% 72.4%
Amphibian	7.6% 18.1% 38.4%	18.6% 49.9% 71.3%

Vulnerable species

Name	Order	IUCN Red List category	Sensitivity to climate change	Adaptability to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus	Pelecaniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos	Falconiformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus	Apodiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus	Falconiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation	Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops	Coraciiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini	Falconiformes	VU	Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca	Anseriformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus	Falconiformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus	Passeriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name	By 2010-2039	By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti	DEC	DEC
Chelictinia riocourii	DEC	DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco alopex	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	INC	INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Accipiter erythropus	INC	NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus	INC	INC
Ardeotis arabs	INC	INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia	INC	INC
Campethera nivosa	INC	INC
Corvus ruficollis	INC	INC
Cursorius cursor	INC	NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva	INC	INC
Caprimulgus eximius	INC	NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii	DEC	DEC
Tockus nasutus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus	INC	INC
Accipiter ovampensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes	INC	INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Amaurornis flavirostra	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ammomanes deserti	INC	INC
Anaplectes rubriceps	INC	NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus	INC	NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons	INC	INC
Anthreptes platurus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Anthus similis	INC	INC
Aquila rapax	DEC	DEC
Ardea melanocephala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Asio capensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina	INC	INC
Batis senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Bubalornis albirostris	NO CHANGE	DEC
Burhinus capensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Butastur rufipennis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis	INC	NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Campethera maculosa	INC	NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera	NO CHANGE	DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus	DEC	DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus	INC	INC
Centropus grillii	INC	INC
Centropus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cercotrichas podobe	NO CHANGE	DEC
Charadrius pecuarius	DEC	DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus	INC	INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Circaetus cinerascens	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Clamator jacobinus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Clamator levaillantii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Columba guinea	DEC	DEC
Coracias abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Coracias cyanogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Coracias naevia	DEC	DEC
Corvinella corvina	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla	DEC	DEC
Coturnix delegorguei	INC	NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus	INC	NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cursorius temminckii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cypsiurus parvus	DEC	NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Egretta gularis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris	INC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata	INC	INC
Emberiza tahapisi	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eremopterix leucotis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Erythropygia galactotes	INC	INC
Euplectes franciscanus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eupodotis savilei	INC	NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Falco ardosiaceus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco biarmicus	DEC	DEC
Falco chicquera	NO CHANGE	DEC
Francolinus albogularis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gallinula angulata	INC	INC
Glaucidium perlatum	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gorsachius leuconotus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Halcyon malimbica	INC	NO CHANGE
Halcyon senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hippolais pallida	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta	INC	INC
Hirundo senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hypergerus atriceps	INC	INC
Indicator minor	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta	INC	NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Laniarius barbarus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides	INC	NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima	INC	INC
Melierax gabar	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melierax metabates	NO CHANGE	DEC
Merops albicollis	INC	NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus	INC	NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus	DEC	DEC
Mesopicos goertae	NO CHANGE	DEC
Microparra capensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans	NO CHANGE	DEC
Mirafra cordofanica	INC	NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea	INC	INC
Mycteria ibis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Nectarinia pulchella	DEC	DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Neotis denhami	INC	NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Oenanthe heuglini	INC	INC
Onychognathus morio	INC	NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus	INC	NO CHANGE
Passer griseus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Passer luteus	INC	NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens	DEC	DEC
Petronia dentata	NO CHANGE	DEC
Petronia pyrgita	INC	INC
Phoeniculus purpureus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis	INC	NO CHANGE
Platalea alba	DEC	DEC
Plectropterus gambensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus	DEC	DEC
Ploceus luteolus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus	INC	INC
Ploceus nigricollis	INC	NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus	DEC	DEC
Poicephalus senegalus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Prinia subflava	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii	INC	INC
Pterocles quadricinctus	DEC	DEC
Pterocles senegallus	INC	NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Pytilia melba	NO CHANGE	DEC
Sagittarius serpentarius	INC	INC
Scotopelia peli	INC	NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans	INC	NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Streptopelia decipiens	NO CHANGE	DEC
Streptopelia vinacea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Sylvietta brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Tchagra senegalus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus	INC	INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Treron waalia	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turdoides reinwardii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turdus pelios	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turtur abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Urocolius macrourus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps	INC	INC
Vanellus senegallus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Vidua chalybeata	NO CHANGE	DEC
Vidua interjecta	INC	NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Mbegue (CSV file).