Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Mbegue

  • WDPA ID

    352631

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
18
Bird
34
299
Mammal
5
67
Total
41
384

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 13.2%
  • 20.8%
  • 37.8%
  • 24.2%
  • 44.6%
  • 66.6%
Mammal
  • 11.5%
  • 23.0%
  • 40.3%
  • 23.6%
  • 50.1%
  • 72.4%
Amphibian
  • 7.6%
  • 18.1%
  • 38.4%
  • 18.6%
  • 49.9%
  • 71.3%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
DEC
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter erythropus
INC
NO CHANGE
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Accipiter ovampensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amadina fasciata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Aquila rapax
DEC
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Campethera maculosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cercotrichas podobe
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cuculus gularis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cursorius temminckii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Egretta gularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Euplectes franciscanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis savilei
INC
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
DEC
DEC
Falco chicquera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Francolinus albogularis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gallinula angulata
INC
INC
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gorsachius leuconotus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
INC
NO CHANGE
Halcyon senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hippolais pallida
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
INC
INC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Laniarius barbarus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides
INC
NO CHANGE
Megaceryle maxima
INC
INC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
NO CHANGE
DEC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myrmecocichla aethiops
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
NO CHANGE
Oriolus auratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
DEC
DEC
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus luteolus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus
INC
INC
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
DEC
DEC
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
DEC
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pytilia melba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Scotopelia peli
INC
NO CHANGE
Serinus leucopygius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Serinus mozambicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Spiloptila clamans
INC
NO CHANGE
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia vinacea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Treron waalia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vidua interjecta
INC
NO CHANGE
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model