< Return to Official Record for Foret de Panal

Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Panal

WDPA ID
352634
Country
SEN
IUCN category
Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

	Vulnerable Species	Total Species
Amphibian	2	20
Bird	36	302
Mammal	2	66
Total	40	388

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

	by 2010-2039	by 2040-2069
Bird	17.2% 26.2% 38.0%	25.0% 43.1% 68.5%
Mammal	18.8% 29.6% 41.6%	25.2% 50.9% 75.0%
Amphibian	17.8% 29.1% 42.0%	21.0% 48.3% 65.8%

Vulnerable species

Name	Order	IUCN Red List category	Sensitivity to climate change	Adaptability to climate change
Caprimulgus europaeus	Caprimulgiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti	Piciformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus	Pelecaniformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata	Charadriiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos	Falconiformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus	Apodiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus	Falconiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation	Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus	Coraciiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Low intrinsic dispersal capacity Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia	Ciconiiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops	Coraciiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini	Falconiformes	VU	Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus	Falconiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca	Anseriformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta	Charadriiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Ardeotis arabs	Gruiformes	NT	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Streptopelia roseogrisea	Columbiformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes Small population size Small effective population size	Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus	Falconiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus	Falconiformes	LC	Intolerance of disturbance Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri	Apodiformes	LC	Microhabitat specialisation Small population size Small effective population size	Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina	Anseriformes	LC	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris	Anseriformes	VU	Low Tolerance to temperature changes	Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name	By 2010-2039	By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti	DEC	DEC
Chelictinia riocourii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus	DEC	DEC
Falco alopex	DEC	DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii	INC	INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Struthio camelus	INC	INC
Nectarinia chloropygia	INC	INC
Campethera nivosa	INC	INC
Corvus ruficollis	INC	INC
Cursorius cursor	INC	NO CHANGE
Turdoides fulva	INC	NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii	DEC	DEC
Tockus nasutus	DEC	DEC
Lybius dubius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus	INC	INC
Accipiter ovampensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes	INC	INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca	NO CHANGE	DEC
Amadina fasciata	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Amandava subflava	INC	INC
Amaurornis flavirostra	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ammomanes deserti	INC	INC
Anaplectes rubriceps	INC	NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota	NO CHANGE	INC
Anastomus lamelligerus	INC	NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus	DEC	DEC
Anthreptes platurus	DEC	DEC
Anthus leucophrys	INC	NO CHANGE
Anthus similis	INC	INC
Apus caffer	INC	NO CHANGE
Aquila rapax	NO CHANGE	DEC
Ardea melanocephala	NO CHANGE	DEC
Asio capensis	INC	INC
Balearica pavonina	INC	INC
Batis senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Bubo africanus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Burhinus senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Butastur rufipennis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis	INC	NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Campephaga phoenicea	DEC	DEC
Campethera maculosa	INC	INC
Campethera punctuligera	NO CHANGE	DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus	DEC	DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus	INC	INC
Centropus grillii	INC	INC
Centropus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cercotrichas podobe	NO CHANGE	DEC
Charadrius pecuarius	DEC	DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus	INC	INC
Ciconia abdimii	DEC	DEC
Cinnyricinclus leucogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Circaetus cinereus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cisticola cantans	DEC	DEC
Clamator glandarius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Clamator jacobinus	DEC	DEC
Clamator levaillantii	NO CHANGE	DEC
Columba guinea	DEC	DEC
Coracias abyssinicus	DEC	DEC
Coracias cyanogaster	DEC	DEC
Coracias naevia	DEC	DEC
Corvinella corvina	NO CHANGE	DEC
Corvus albus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Corvus rhipidurus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla	INC	NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla	DEC	DEC
Coturnix delegorguei	INC	NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia	NO CHANGE	DEC
Cuculus clamosus	INC	NO CHANGE
Cuculus solitarius	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Dendrocopos obsoletus	DEC	DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis	DEC	NO CHANGE
Egretta gularis	INC	INC
Emberiza flaviventris	INC	NO CHANGE
Emberiza striolata	INC	INC
Emberiza tahapisi	INC	INC
Eremomela icteropygialis	INC	INC
Eremomela pusilla	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Eremopterix leucotis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eremopterix nigriceps	INC	INC
Erythropygia galactotes	INC	INC
Estrilda caerulescens	DEC	DEC
Estrilda melpoda	INC	INC
Euplectes franciscanus	DEC	DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Falco ardosiaceus	DEC	DEC
Falco biarmicus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Falco chicquera	DEC	DEC
Falco cuvierii	DEC	DEC
Francolinus albogularis	DEC	NO CHANGE
Francolinus bicalcaratus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gallinula angulata	INC	INC
Glaucidium perlatum	NO CHANGE	DEC
Gyps africanus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Halcyon chelicuti	DEC	DEC
Halcyon malimbica	DEC	DEC
Halcyon senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster	NO CHANGE	DEC
Hirundo abyssinica	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo aethiopica	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo obsoleta	INC	NO CHANGE
Hirundo senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Hylia prasina	INC	NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster	DEC	DEC
Hypergerus atriceps	INC	NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator	INC	NO CHANGE
Indicator minor	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lagonosticta rufopicta	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta senegala	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus	DEC	DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Laniarius barbarus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans	DEC	DEC
Lonchura cucullata	INC	NO CHANGE
Lonchura fringilloides	INC	INC
Macrodipteryx longipennis	DEC	DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti	DEC	DEC
Megaceryle maxima	INC	INC
Melaenornis edolioides	DEC	DEC
Melierax gabar	NO CHANGE	DEC
Melierax metabates	DEC	DEC
Merops bulocki	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Merops hirundineus	INC	NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus	DEC	DEC
Mesopicos goertae	DEC	DEC
Microparra capensis	INC	NO CHANGE
Mirafra cordofanica	INC	NO CHANGE
Muscicapa gambagae	INC	NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons	DEC	DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Nectarinia coccinigaster	INC	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia cuprea	INC	NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella	DEC	DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis	DEC	DEC
Neotis denhami	INC	NO CHANGE
Nilaus afer	NO CHANGE	DEC
Oenanthe heuglini	INC	INC
Onychognathus morio	INC	INC
Oriolus auratus	INC	NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis	INC	NO CHANGE
Otus senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Passer griseus	DEC	DEC
Passer luteus	INC	NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens	DEC	DEC
Petronia dentata	DEC	DEC
Petronia pyrgita	INC	INC
Phoenicopterus roseus	INC	INC
Phoeniculus purpureus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Platalea alba	NO CHANGE	DEC
Platysteira cyanea	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Plegadis falcinellus	DEC	DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus	DEC	DEC
Ploceus heuglini	DEC	DEC
Ploceus melanocephalus	INC	INC
Ploceus nigricollis	INC	NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus	DEC	DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius	NO CHANGE	DEC
Poicephalus senegalus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Prinia subflava	NO CHANGE	DEC
Prionops plumatus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii	INC	INC
Pterocles quadricinctus	DEC	DEC
Pterocles senegallus	INC	NO CHANGE
Ptilopachus petrosus	DEC	DEC
Ptilostomus afer	DEC	DEC
Pytilia melba	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Pytilia phoenicoptera	INC	NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius	INC	INC
Scotopelia peli	INC	INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus	INC	INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Streptopelia decipiens	NO CHANGE	DEC
Streptopelia semitorquata	NO CHANGE	DEC
Streptopelia vinacea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Strix woodfordii	INC	NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura	NO CHANGE	DEC
Tchagra senegalus	DEC	DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus	DEC	DEC
Terathopius ecaudatus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Thalassornis leuconotus	INC	INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus	DEC	DEC
Treron waalia	DEC	DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turdoides plebejus	DEC	DEC
Turdoides reinwardii	DEC	DEC
Turdus pelios	NO CHANGE	DEC
Turtur abyssinicus	NO CHANGE	NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus	DEC	DEC
Vanellus albiceps	INC	INC
Vanellus senegallus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Vanellus spinosus	NO CHANGE	DEC
Vidua chalybeata	DEC	DEC
Vidua paradisaea	NO CHANGE	DEC
Zosterops senegalensis	NO CHANGE	DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model

Download the full set of data for Foret de Panal (CSV file).