Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Welor

  • WDPA ID

    352645

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
3
18
Bird
44
363
Mammal
3
67
Total
50
448

11 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 11.1%
  • 15.7%
  • 31.1%
  • 20.3%
  • 34.4%
  • 48.8%
Mammal
  • 14.1%
  • 20.3%
  • 34.6%
  • 21.1%
  • 38.8%
  • 58.4%
Amphibian
  • 12.0%
  • 17.8%
  • 35.3%
  • 17.4%
  • 36.6%
  • 53.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Falco peregrinus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low genetic diversity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Ciconia nigra Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Tauraco persa Cuculiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Prodotiscus insignis Piciformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Nectarinia verticalis Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Buteo buteo Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chlidonias niger Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya fuligula Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lamprotornis splendidus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Passer domesticus Passeriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco alopex
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Streptopelia roseogrisea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
INC
Glareola nuchalis
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Cursorius cursor
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
INC
Caprimulgus eximius
INC
INC
Neotis nuba
INC
NO CHANGE
Bubo ascalaphus
INC
INC
Gyps rueppellii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
INC
Acrocephalus rufescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Alopochen aegyptiaca
NO CHANGE
DEC
Amaurornis flavirostra
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes cinctura
INC
NO CHANGE
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
INC
Anas capensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Anas sparsa
INC
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
INC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
NO CHANGE
DEC
Batis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bucanetes githagineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Burhinus capensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
INC
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
INC
INC
Caprimulgus climacurus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Cercotrichas podobe
INC
INC
Charadrius pecuarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator glandarius
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Clamator jacobinus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Coracias naevia
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coracina pectoralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha niveicapilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
INC
Cuculus clamosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Dendropicos elachus
INC
INC
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremalauda dunni
NO CHANGE
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eremopterix nigriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Eupodotis savilei
INC
INC
Eupodotis senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco ardosiaceus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gypohierax angolensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Hieraaetus ayresii
INC
NO CHANGE
Hippolais pallida
INC
INC
Hirundo abyssinica
INC
INC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
INC
Hirundo fuligula
INC
INC
Hirundo obsoleta
INC
INC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rhodopareia
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rubricata
INC
NO CHANGE
Lagonosticta rufopicta
INC
INC
Lagonosticta senegala
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lamprotornis chalcurus
INC
INC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Lanius collaris
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Leptoptilos crumeniferus
DEC
DEC
Lonchura bicolor
INC
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura fringilloides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Macheiramphus alcinus
INC
NO CHANGE
Macronyx croceus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Malimbus nitens
INC
NO CHANGE
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Melierax gabar
DEC
DEC
Melierax metabates
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops albicollis
INC
INC
Merops bulocki
INC
INC
Mesopicos goertae
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Microparra capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
INC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
INC
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
INC
INC
Nilaus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
INC
Oenanthe leucopyga
INC
INC
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Passer griseus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Passer luteus
INC
INC
Passer simplex
NO CHANGE
INC
Pelecanus rufescens
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Phyllanthus atripennis
INC
NO CHANGE
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus superciliosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pterocles senegallus
INC
INC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Spiloptila clamans
INC
INC
Stigmatopelia senegalensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Uraeginthus bengalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Urocolius macrourus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus albiceps
INC
INC
Vidua chalybeata
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua wilsoni
INC
NO CHANGE
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model