Climate change vulnerability assessments

The boundaries and names shown, and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations or IUCN

Name

Foret de Bala- Ouest

  • WDPA ID

    352647

  • Country

    SEN

  • IUCN category

    Not Reported

Species vulnerable to climate change

According to Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments (TVAs)

Vulnerable Species Total Species
Amphibian
2
21
Bird
36
306
Mammal
2
68
Total
40
395

10 % of bird, amphibian, and mammal species assessed are considered vulnerable to climate change

Expected species turnover

According to Species Distribution Models (SDMs)

Percentage of species turnover: Median (95% Confidence Interval)

by 2010-2039 by 2040-2069
Bird
  • 16.7%
  • 22.7%
  • 31.0%
  • 25.7%
  • 40.5%
  • 63.6%
Mammal
  • 20.7%
  • 28.6%
  • 44.8%
  • 28.2%
  • 50.6%
  • 78.8%
Amphibian
  • 19.0%
  • 27.7%
  • 38.2%
  • 22.8%
  • 43.8%
  • 60.7%

Vulnerable species

Name Order Exposure

by 2010-2039   by 2040-2069

IUCN Red List category Sensitivity

to climate change

Adaptability

to climate change

Caprimulgus europaeus Caprimulgiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Himantopus himantopus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Lybius vieilloti Piciformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
Pelecanus onocrotalus Pelecaniformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Tringa totanus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas crecca Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Chelictinia riocourii Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Numenius arquata Charadriiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Rhinopomastus aterrimus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Torgos tracheliotos Falconiformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Apus apus Apodiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus macrourus Falconiformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Falco alopex Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Anas acuta Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Apus pallidus Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Slow turnover of generations
Bucorvus abyssinicus Coraciiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low intrinsic dispersal capacity
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Accipiter erythropus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to changes in precipitation regimes
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Ciconia ciconia Ciconiiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circus pygargus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Hieraaetus pennatus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Lymnocryptes minimus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Tringa erythropus Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Extrinsic barriers to dispersal
Circaetus gallicus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Upupa epops Coraciiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Circaetus beaudouini Falconiformes
VU
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Circus aeruginosus Falconiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Neophron percnopterus Falconiformes
EN
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Aythya nyroca Anseriformes
NT
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia turtur Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Low reproductive capacity
Recurvirostra avosetta Charadriiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Streptopelia roseogrisea Columbiformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Low reproductive capacity
Gyps fulvus Falconiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Pernis apivorus Falconiformes
LC
  • Intolerance of disturbance
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
  • Low reproductive capacity
Telacanthura ussheri Apodiformes
LC
  • Microhabitat specialisation
  • Small population size
  • Small effective population size
  • Slow turnover of generations
Aythya ferina Anseriformes
LC
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations
Marmaronetta angustirostris Anseriformes
VU
  • Low Tolerance to temperature changes
  • Slow turnover of generations

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Traits-based Vulnerability Assessments

Expected changes in climate suitability

Name By 2010-2039 By 2040-2069
Lybius vieilloti
DEC
DEC
Chelictinia riocourii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Rhinopomastus aterrimus
DEC
DEC
Falco alopex
DEC
DEC
Ortyxelos meiffrenii
INC
INC
Bucorvus abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Circaetus beaudouini
NO CHANGE
DEC
Struthio camelus
INC
INC
Ardeotis arabs
INC
INC
Nectarinia chloropygia
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera nivosa
INC
INC
Corvus ruficollis
INC
INC
Turdoides fulva
INC
NO CHANGE
Gyps rueppellii
DEC
DEC
Tockus nasutus
DEC
DEC
Lybius dubius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tockus erythrorhynchus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Accipiter melanoleucus
INC
NO CHANGE
Accipiter ovampensis
DEC
DEC
Alaemon alaudipes
INC
INC
Amandava subflava
INC
INC
Amaurornis flavirostra
DEC
DEC
Ammomanes deserti
INC
INC
Anaplectes rubriceps
INC
NO CHANGE
Anas hottentota
NO CHANGE
INC
Anastomus lamelligerus
INC
NO CHANGE
Anthoscopus parvulus
DEC
DEC
Anthoscopus punctifrons
INC
INC
Anthreptes platurus
DEC
DEC
Anthus leucophrys
NO CHANGE
DEC
Anthus similis
INC
INC
Apus caffer
DEC
DEC
Aquila rapax
NO CHANGE
DEC
Ardea melanocephala
DEC
DEC
Asio capensis
INC
INC
Aviceda cuculoides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Balearica pavonina
INC
INC
Batis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Bubalornis albirostris
NO CHANGE
DEC
Bubo africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Burhinus senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Butastur rufipennis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Buteo auguralis
INC
NO CHANGE
Camaroptera brachyura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Campephaga phoenicea
DEC
DEC
Campethera maculosa
INC
NO CHANGE
Campethera punctuligera
NO CHANGE
DEC
Caprimulgus climacurus
DEC
DEC
Caprimulgus inornatus
INC
INC
Centropus grillii
INC
INC
Centropus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Charadrius forbesi
DEC
DEC
Charadrius pecuarius
DEC
DEC
Chlorocichla flavicollis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Chrysococcyx cupreus
INC
INC
Ciconia abdimii
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinerascens
DEC
DEC
Circaetus cinereus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Cisticola aberrans
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola aridulus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cisticola cantans
DEC
DEC
Clamator glandarius
DEC
DEC
Clamator jacobinus
DEC
DEC
Clamator levaillantii
NO CHANGE
DEC
Columba guinea
DEC
DEC
Coracias abyssinicus
DEC
DEC
Coracias cyanogaster
DEC
DEC
Coracias naevia
DEC
DEC
Corvinella corvina
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus albus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Corvus rhipidurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cossypha albicapilla
DEC
DEC
Cossypha niveicapilla
DEC
DEC
Coturnix delegorguei
INC
NO CHANGE
Crecopsis egregia
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Cuculus clamosus
INC
NO CHANGE
Cursorius temminckii
INC
NO CHANGE
Cypsiurus parvus
DEC
DEC
Dendrocopos obsoletus
DEC
DEC
Dryoscopus gambensis
DEC
NO CHANGE
Emberiza flaviventris
INC
INC
Emberiza striolata
INC
INC
Emberiza tahapisi
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremomela icteropygialis
INC
INC
Eremomela pusilla
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix leucotis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eremopterix nigriceps
INC
INC
Erythropygia galactotes
INC
INC
Estrilda caerulescens
DEC
DEC
Euplectes franciscanus
DEC
DEC
Eupodotis melanogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Eupodotis senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Eurystomus glaucurus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Falco ardosiaceus
DEC
DEC
Falco biarmicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Falco chicquera
DEC
DEC
Falco cuvierii
DEC
DEC
Francolinus bicalcaratus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Galerida modesta
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Glaucidium perlatum
NO CHANGE
DEC
Gypohierax angolensis
DEC
DEC
Gyps africanus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Halcyon chelicuti
DEC
DEC
Halcyon malimbica
DEC
DEC
Halcyon senegalensis
DEC
DEC
Haliaeetus vocifer
DEC
DEC
Heliolais erythropterus
DEC
DEC
Hieraaetus spilogaster
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hirundo aethiopica
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo fuligula
INC
NO CHANGE
Hirundo leucosoma
DEC
DEC
Hirundo senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Hylia prasina
INC
NO CHANGE
Hyliota flavigaster
DEC
DEC
Hypergerus atriceps
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Indicator indicator
INC
INC
Indicator maculatus
DEC
DEC
Indicator minor
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lagonosticta senegala
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis caudatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chalcurus
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis chalybaeus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Lamprotornis chloropterus
DEC
DEC
Lamprotornis purpureus
DEC
DEC
Laniarius aethiopicus
INC
NO CHANGE
Laniarius barbarus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Lonchura cantans
DEC
DEC
Lonchura cucullata
DEC
DEC
Macrodipteryx longipennis
DEC
DEC
Malaconotus blanchoti
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melaenornis edolioides
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax gabar
NO CHANGE
DEC
Melierax metabates
DEC
DEC
Merops bulocki
NO CHANGE
DEC
Merops hirundineus
INC
NO CHANGE
Merops nubicus
DEC
DEC
Mesopicos goertae
DEC
DEC
Microparra capensis
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra cantillans
INC
INC
Mirafra cordofanica
INC
NO CHANGE
Mirafra rufocinnamomea
INC
INC
Muscicapa aquatica
NO CHANGE
DEC
Muscicapa gambagae
INC
NO CHANGE
Mycteria ibis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Myioparus plumbeus
DEC
DEC
Myrmecocichla albifrons
DEC
DEC
Necrosyrtes monachus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Nectarinia cuprea
INC
NO CHANGE
Nectarinia pulchella
DEC
DEC
Nectarinia senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Neotis denhami
DEC
DEC
Nilaus afer
DEC
DEC
Oenanthe heuglini
INC
NO CHANGE
Onychognathus morio
INC
INC
Oriolus auratus
INC
NO CHANGE
Otus leucotis
DEC
DEC
Otus senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Passer griseus
DEC
DEC
Passer luteus
INC
NO CHANGE
Pelecanus rufescens
DEC
DEC
Petronia dentata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Petronia pyrgita
INC
INC
Phoenicopterus roseus
INC
INC
Phoeniculus purpureus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platalea alba
NO CHANGE
DEC
Platysteira cyanea
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Plectropterus gambensis
NO CHANGE
DEC
Plegadis falcinellus
DEC
DEC
Plocepasser superciliosus
DEC
DEC
Ploceus heuglini
DEC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus nigricollis
INC
NO CHANGE
Ploceus vitellinus
DEC
DEC
Pluvianus aegyptius
NO CHANGE
DEC
Pogoniulus chrysoconus
INC
NO CHANGE
Poicephalus senegalus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Polemaetus bellicosus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prinia subflava
NO CHANGE
DEC
Prionops plumatus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Psalidoprocne obscura
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Pterocles lichtensteinii
INC
INC
Pterocles quadricinctus
DEC
DEC
Ptilopachus petrosus
DEC
DEC
Ptilostomus afer
NO CHANGE
DEC
Sagittarius serpentarius
INC
INC
Stephanoaetus coronatus
INC
INC
Streptopelia decipiens
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Streptopelia semitorquata
NO CHANGE
DEC
Streptopelia vinacea
DEC
DEC
Sylvietta brachyura
NO CHANGE
DEC
Tchagra senegalus
DEC
DEC
Telophorus sulfureopectus
DEC
DEC
Thalassornis leuconotus
INC
INC
Threskiornis aethiopicus
DEC
DEC
Treron waalia
DEC
DEC
Trigonoceps occipitalis
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Turdoides plebejus
DEC
DEC
Turdoides reinwardii
DEC
DEC
Turdus pelios
NO CHANGE
DEC
Turtur abyssinicus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Uraeginthus bengalus
DEC
DEC
Vanellus senegallus
NO CHANGE
DEC
Vanellus spinosus
NO CHANGE
NO CHANGE
Vidua chalybeata
DEC
DEC
Vidua interjecta
DEC
DEC
Vidua paradisaea
NO CHANGE
DEC
Zosterops senegalensis
NO CHANGE
DEC

The full description of the methodology used for this assessment can be downloaded here: Species Distribution Model